**Traders see the 160-179 and 180-199 brackets as the most probable landing zones for Elon Musk’s X activity from September 4–11, 2026, because his recent weekly totals have clustered in that moderate-to-high range while daily pacing has cooled from earlier peaks.** Recent shorter windows show sharp variability—settling as low as under 40 or in the 40-64 band—yet full seven-day periods in late August and early September frequently resolved in the 160-219 zone, establishing a baseline that aligns with the current market-implied odds. With roughly 122 posts logged through early September 10 and one to two days remaining, the projected finish sits squarely in the 140-199 corridor favored by the two leading outcomes. Activity on September 9, including multiple replies and commentary on Tesla, media, and X platform topics, illustrates his typical engagement rhythm without a major news cycle or controversy to accelerate volume. Weekday averages near 30–40 posts and lower weekend figures support the consensus that the week will avoid both unusually quiet and outlier-high totals, keeping the tight 160-199 band as the clearest expression of aggregated trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 50%
180-199 34%
140-159 9.8%
200-219 8%
$1,222,402 Vol.
$1,222,402 Vol.
120-139
<1%
140-159
10%
160-179
50%
180-199
34%
200-219
8%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 50%
180-199 34%
140-159 9.8%
200-219 8%
$1,222,402 Vol.
$1,222,402 Vol.
120-139
<1%
140-159
10%
160-179
50%
180-199
34%
200-219
8%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders see the 160-179 and 180-199 brackets as the most probable landing zones for Elon Musk’s X activity from September 4–11, 2026, because his recent weekly totals have clustered in that moderate-to-high range while daily pacing has cooled from earlier peaks.** Recent shorter windows show sharp variability—settling as low as under 40 or in the 40-64 band—yet full seven-day periods in late August and early September frequently resolved in the 160-219 zone, establishing a baseline that aligns with the current market-implied odds. With roughly 122 posts logged through early September 10 and one to two days remaining, the projected finish sits squarely in the 140-199 corridor favored by the two leading outcomes. Activity on September 9, including multiple replies and commentary on Tesla, media, and X platform topics, illustrates his typical engagement rhythm without a major news cycle or controversy to accelerate volume. Weekday averages near 30–40 posts and lower weekend figures support the consensus that the week will avoid both unusually quiet and outlier-high totals, keeping the tight 160-199 band as the clearest expression of aggregated trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions