Traders see the 40-64 tweet bracket as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s September 10-12 window because his recent three-day stretches have settled in that moderate range after a sharp drop to under 40 posts earlier in the month. Activity has rebounded modestly since then, with daily counts tracking between roughly 13 and 20 posts amid routine X platform updates, Tesla commentary, and lighter political engagement rather than major breaking news cycles that historically drive spikes above 30 per day. Precedent from the prior week’s 40-64 resolution and the ongoing September pace near 247 posts total reinforce the market’s consensus around this band, while the wide spread of lower-probability outcomes above 90 reflects the possibility of a sudden controversy or product announcement lifting volume. The next chart updates and any high-profile replies or threads over the coming days remain the key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 50%
65-89 28%
<40 16%
90-114 7%
$46,854 Vol.
$46,854 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<40
16%
40-64
50%
65-89
28%
90-114
7%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 28%
<40 16%
90-114 7%
$46,854 Vol.
$46,854 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<40
$8,661 Vol.
16%
40-64
$11,192 Vol.
50%
65-89
$11,837 Vol.
28%
90-114
$3,617 Vol.
7%
115-139
$1,810 Vol.
1%
140-164
$5,517 Vol.
1%
165-189
$1,334 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$1,550 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$718 Vol.
<1%
240+
$618 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet bracket as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s September 10-12 window because his recent three-day stretches have settled in that moderate range after a sharp drop to under 40 posts earlier in the month. Activity has rebounded modestly since then, with daily counts tracking between roughly 13 and 20 posts amid routine X platform updates, Tesla commentary, and lighter political engagement rather than major breaking news cycles that historically drive spikes above 30 per day. Precedent from the prior week’s 40-64 resolution and the ongoing September pace near 247 posts total reinforce the market’s consensus around this band, while the wide spread of lower-probability outcomes above 90 reflects the possibility of a sudden controversy or product announcement lifting volume. The next chart updates and any high-profile replies or threads over the coming days remain the key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$46,854End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet bracket as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s September 10-12 window because his recent three-day stretches have settled in that moderate range after a sharp drop to under 40 posts earlier in the month. Activity has rebounded modestly since then, with daily counts tracking between roughly 13 and 20 posts amid routine X platform updates, Tesla commentary, and lighter political engagement rather than major breaking news cycles that historically drive spikes above 30 per day. Precedent from the prior week’s 40-64 resolution and the ongoing September pace near 247 posts total reinforce the market’s consensus around this band, while the wide spread of lower-probability outcomes above 90 reflects the possibility of a sudden controversy or product announcement lifting volume. The next chart updates and any high-profile replies or threads over the coming days remain the key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$46,854End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet bracket as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s September 10-12 window because his recent three-day stretches have settled in that moderate range after a sharp drop to under 40 posts earlier in the month. Activity has rebounded modestly since then, with daily counts tracking between roughly 13 and 20 posts amid routine X platform updates, Tesla commentary, and lighter political engagement rather than major breaking news cycles that historically drive spikes above 30 per day. Precedent from the prior week’s 40-64 resolution and the ongoing September pace near 247 posts total reinforce the market’s consensus around this band, while the wide spread of lower-probability outcomes above 90 reflects the possibility of a sudden controversy or product announcement lifting volume. The next chart updates and any high-profile replies or threads over the coming days remain the key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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