NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies and allied observatories have catalogued the vast majority of near-Earth objects large enough to produce a 1-megaton airburst, with no tracked bodies on collision trajectories for 2026. Sentry risk assessments list only negligible probabilities for sub-50-meter asteroids whose impact energies fall far below the threshold, while historical data show such energetic bolides occur roughly once per decade or less. Continuous radar, optical surveys, and the expanding NEO Surveyor mission further reduce blind spots for objects capable of reaching that yield. The slim remaining uncertainty stems from the possibility of an undetected meter-to-tens-of-meters natural meteoroid arriving over remote regions before full characterization, though sensor networks and rapid follow-up make this scenario highly improbable by year-end resolution.