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icon for ¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?

¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?

icon for ¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?

¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?

68% probabilidad
Polymarket

$102,057 Vol.

68% probabilidad
Polymarket

$102,057 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, positioning them to advance articles of impeachment during the remainder of President Trump’s term through January 2029. Recent filings, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing immigration enforcement actions and related incidents, illustrate ongoing Democratic efforts even in the minority. Prediction markets price the House vote at roughly two-thirds odds, reflecting this midterm outlook and historical patterns of partisan proceedings when one party holds the chamber. Senate conviction remains a separate and steeper barrier requiring a two-thirds majority, though the market focuses solely on House passage. Midterm results and any subsequent committee actions will determine whether these probabilities shift materially.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$102,057
Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029
Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, positioning them to advance articles of impeachment during the remainder of President Trump’s term through January 2029. Recent filings, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 resolution citing immigration enforcement actions and related incidents, illustrate ongoing Democratic efforts even in the minority. Prediction markets price the House vote at roughly two-thirds odds, reflecting this midterm outlook and historical patterns of partisan proceedings when one party holds the chamber. Senate conviction remains a separate and steeper barrier requiring a two-thirds majority, though the market focuses solely on House passage. Midterm results and any subsequent committee actions will determine whether these probabilities shift materially.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$102,057
Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029
Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Será destituido Trump antes de que termine su mandato?" con 68%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 68¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?" ha generado $102.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?" es "¿Será destituido Trump antes de que termine su mandato?" con 68%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.