Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
Sí
68% probabilidad
$102,057 Vol.
$102,057 Vol.
19 ene 2029
Gana un 3.25%
Sí
68% probabilidad
$102,057 Vol.
$102,057 Vol.
19 ene 2029
Gana un 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$102,057Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$102,057Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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