Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in the Wisconsin 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt, anchored in Madison and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. No Republican filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the incumbent to face only a minor primary challenge that he won decisively in August. This structural advantage, combined with Pocan's established incumbency and prior large margins, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before November 3 include a late independent or write-in surge, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the nominee, or broader national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWI-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Partido Republicano
<1%
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
$62,181 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$40,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in the Wisconsin 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt, anchored in Madison and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. No Republican filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the incumbent to face only a minor primary challenge that he won decisively in August. This structural advantage, combined with Pocan's established incumbency and prior large margins, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before November 3 include a late independent or write-in surge, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the nominee, or broader national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$102,288Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in the Wisconsin 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt, anchored in Madison and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. No Republican filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the incumbent to face only a minor primary challenge that he won decisively in August. This structural advantage, combined with Pocan's established incumbency and prior large margins, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before November 3 include a late independent or write-in surge, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the nominee, or broader national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$102,288Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in the Wisconsin 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt, anchored in Madison and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. No Republican filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the incumbent to face only a minor primary challenge that he won decisively in August. This structural advantage, combined with Pocan's established incumbency and prior large margins, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before November 3 include a late independent or write-in surge, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the nominee, or broader national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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