Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District primary on August 11, 2026, defeating a more progressive challenger and setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. The district, rated a toss-up by major forecasters, saw Cooke raise over $8.6 million and outperform the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee in her prior general election loss by a narrow margin. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by Cooke’s fundraising edge, the competitive nature of the seat, and recent events including Van Orden’s use of AI-generated attack videos and Cooke’s clearance from electioneering allegations in early September. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign focus on economic issues and turnout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
$4,465 Vol.
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
$2,073 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District primary on August 11, 2026, defeating a more progressive challenger and setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. The district, rated a toss-up by major forecasters, saw Cooke raise over $8.6 million and outperform the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee in her prior general election loss by a narrow margin. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by Cooke’s fundraising edge, the competitive nature of the seat, and recent events including Van Orden’s use of AI-generated attack videos and Cooke’s clearance from electioneering allegations in early September. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign focus on economic issues and turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$6,538Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District primary on August 11, 2026, defeating a more progressive challenger and setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. The district, rated a toss-up by major forecasters, saw Cooke raise over $8.6 million and outperform the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee in her prior general election loss by a narrow margin. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by Cooke’s fundraising edge, the competitive nature of the seat, and recent events including Van Orden’s use of AI-generated attack videos and Cooke’s clearance from electioneering allegations in early September. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign focus on economic issues and turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,538Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Cooke secured the Democratic nomination in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District primary on August 11, 2026, defeating a more progressive challenger and setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden. The district, rated a toss-up by major forecasters, saw Cooke raise over $8.6 million and outperform the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee in her prior general election loss by a narrow margin. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by Cooke’s fundraising edge, the competitive nature of the seat, and recent events including Van Orden’s use of AI-generated attack videos and Cooke’s clearance from electioneering allegations in early September. Scheduled general election voting on November 3 remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign focus on economic issues and turnout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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