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icon for ¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?

¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?

icon for ¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?

¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?

Menos de 45 36%

45-54 28%

55-64 17%

65-74 8.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Menos de 45 36%

45-54 28%

55-64 17%

65-74 8.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Menos de 45

$1,024 Vol.

44%

45-54

$755 Vol.

28%

55-64

$247 Vol.

23%

65-74

$144 Vol.

9%

75-84

$135 Vol.

5%

85+

$148 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic nominee's age reflects a wide-open primary featuring multiple younger contenders such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Jon Ossoff, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg alongside established figures including Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Early national polls and prediction markets show no dominant frontrunner, with support fragmented across age cohorts and strong emphasis on generational change following the party's 2024 results. The near-even pricing between the under-45 and 45-54 brackets captures uncertainty over which candidates will gain traction after the 2026 midterms, secure early-state endorsements, or demonstrate fundraising strength. Shifts in polling averages, midterm outcomes, or formal declarations by governors and senators could quickly separate the age brackets by clarifying the field's composition and voter preference for experience versus renewal.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volumen
$2,452
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2028
Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic nominee's age reflects a wide-open primary featuring multiple younger contenders such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Jon Ossoff, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg alongside established figures including Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Early national polls and prediction markets show no dominant frontrunner, with support fragmented across age cohorts and strong emphasis on generational change following the party's 2024 results. The near-even pricing between the under-45 and 45-54 brackets captures uncertainty over which candidates will gain traction after the 2026 midterms, secure early-state endorsements, or demonstrate fundraising strength. Shifts in polling averages, midterm outcomes, or formal declarations by governors and senators could quickly separate the age brackets by clarifying the field's composition and voter preference for experience versus renewal.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volumen
$2,452
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2028
Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Menos de 45" con 44%, seguido de "45-54" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 15, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?" es "Menos de 45" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "45-54" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.