Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic nominee's age reflects a wide-open primary featuring multiple younger contenders such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Jon Ossoff, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg alongside established figures including Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Early national polls and prediction markets show no dominant frontrunner, with support fragmented across age cohorts and strong emphasis on generational change following the party's 2024 results. The near-even pricing between the under-45 and 45-54 brackets captures uncertainty over which candidates will gain traction after the 2026 midterms, secure early-state endorsements, or demonstrate fundraising strength. Shifts in polling averages, midterm outcomes, or formal declarations by governors and senators could quickly separate the age brackets by clarifying the field's composition and voter preference for experience versus renewal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Edad del candidato presidencial demócrata de 2028?
Menos de 45 36%
45-54 28%
55-64 17%
65-74 8.7%
Menos de 45
44%
45-54
28%
55-64
23%
65-74
9%
75-84
5%
85+
5%
Menos de 45 36%
45-54 28%
55-64 17%
65-74 8.7%
Menos de 45
44%
45-54
28%
55-64
23%
65-74
9%
75-84
5%
85+
5%
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic nominee's age reflects a wide-open primary featuring multiple younger contenders such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Jon Ossoff, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg alongside established figures including Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Early national polls and prediction markets show no dominant frontrunner, with support fragmented across age cohorts and strong emphasis on generational change following the party's 2024 results. The near-even pricing between the under-45 and 45-54 brackets captures uncertainty over which candidates will gain traction after the 2026 midterms, secure early-state endorsements, or demonstrate fundraising strength. Shifts in polling averages, midterm outcomes, or formal declarations by governors and senators could quickly separate the age brackets by clarifying the field's composition and voter preference for experience versus renewal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes