Amanda McKinney holds a commanding position in the Washington 4th Congressional District race because the open seat lies in one of the state’s most reliably Republican areas, long represented by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner, consolidated support in the August 4 top-two primary, finishing first with roughly 35 percent behind endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson, while outpacing other GOP contenders. The district’s conservative electorate and her substantial fundraising edge, including backing from aligned super PACs, reinforce trader expectations of a Republican hold. Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran who advanced in second place, has raised notable funds and secured labor support, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWA-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WA-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$54,328 Vol.
$54,328 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Amanda McKinney (R)
92%
John Duresky (D)
8%
$54,328 Vol.
$54,328 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Amanda McKinney (R)
$30,916 Vol.
92%
John Duresky (D)
$23,412 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney holds a commanding position in the Washington 4th Congressional District race because the open seat lies in one of the state’s most reliably Republican areas, long represented by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner, consolidated support in the August 4 top-two primary, finishing first with roughly 35 percent behind endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson, while outpacing other GOP contenders. The district’s conservative electorate and her substantial fundraising edge, including backing from aligned super PACs, reinforce trader expectations of a Republican hold. Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran who advanced in second place, has raised notable funds and secured labor support, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$54,328Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Amanda McKinney holds a commanding position in the Washington 4th Congressional District race because the open seat lies in one of the state’s most reliably Republican areas, long represented by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner, consolidated support in the August 4 top-two primary, finishing first with roughly 35 percent behind endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson, while outpacing other GOP contenders. The district’s conservative electorate and her substantial fundraising edge, including backing from aligned super PACs, reinforce trader expectations of a Republican hold. Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran who advanced in second place, has raised notable funds and secured labor support, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$54,328Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amanda McKinney holds a commanding position in the Washington 4th Congressional District race because the open seat lies in one of the state’s most reliably Republican areas, long represented by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. McKinney, a Yakima County commissioner, consolidated support in the August 4 top-two primary, finishing first with roughly 35 percent behind endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson, while outpacing other GOP contenders. The district’s conservative electorate and her substantial fundraising edge, including backing from aligned super PACs, reinforce trader expectations of a Republican hold. Democrat John Duresky, a retired Air Force veteran who advanced in second place, has raised notable funds and secured labor support, yet faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as turnout shifts, candidate controversies, or national political swings could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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