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icon for Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar

Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar

Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar

Eduardo Gomes 77%

Gaguim 8.9%

Alexandre Guimarães 8.5%

Paulo Mourão <1%

Polymarket

$26,997 Vol.

Eduardo Gomes 77%

Gaguim 8.9%

Alexandre Guimarães 8.5%

Paulo Mourão <1%

Polymarket

$26,997 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$15,742 Vol.

77%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$1,507 Vol.

9%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$2,351 Vol.

9%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$741 Vol.

1%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$699 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$809 Vol.

<1%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$701 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$757 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$554 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$811 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds a clear lead in the Tocantins Senate race for one of two seats decided by plurality on October 4, reflecting consistent polling advantages from his incumbency, party infrastructure, and name recognition across multiple surveys conducted through late August. Stimulated scenarios show him ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União), with the rest of the 13-candidate field—including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão—trailing further behind amid high undecided shares and vote fragmentation. Recent candidate registrations and coalition formations have not altered this positioning, while the single-round format and dual-vote mechanics favor established frontrunners. Trader consensus on Gomes for first place aligns with these patterns, though late campaign shifts or turnout variations among the state's 1.18 million voters could still influence final margins.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$26,997
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds a clear lead in the Tocantins Senate race for one of two seats decided by plurality on October 4, reflecting consistent polling advantages from his incumbency, party infrastructure, and name recognition across multiple surveys conducted through late August. Stimulated scenarios show him ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União), with the rest of the 13-candidate field—including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão—trailing further behind amid high undecided shares and vote fragmentation. Recent candidate registrations and coalition formations have not altered this positioning, while the single-round format and dual-vote mechanics favor established frontrunners. Trader consensus on Gomes for first place aligns with these patterns, though late campaign shifts or turnout variations among the state's 1.18 million voters could still influence final margins.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$26,997
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eduardo Gomes" con 77%, seguido de "Gaguim" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 77¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" ha generado $27K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" es "Eduardo Gomes" con 77%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Gaguim" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Tocantins: 1er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.