Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Tocantins
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Tocantins

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Tocantins
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Tocantins

Professora Dorinha 63%

Vicentinho Júnior 31%

Du Pereira <1%

Ataides de Oliveira <1%

Polymarket

$17,170 Vol.

Professora Dorinha 63%

Vicentinho Júnior 31%

Du Pereira <1%

Ataides de Oliveira <1%

Polymarket

$17,170 Vol.

icon for Professora Dorinha

Professora Dorinha

$3,536 Vol.

63%

icon for Vicentinho Júnior

Vicentinho Júnior

$6,242 Vol.

31%

icon for Du Pereira

Du Pereira

$2,542 Vol.

1%

icon for Ataides de Oliveira

Ataides de Oliveira

$1,715 Vol.

<1%

icon for Laurez Moreira

Laurez Moreira

$645 Vol.

<1%

icon for Prof. Witer Naves

Prof. Witer Naves

$1,515 Vol.

<1%

icon for Subtenente Luiz Carlos

Subtenente Luiz Carlos

$977 Vol.

<1%

The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) leads the Tocantins gubernatorial race with 62.5% implied probability, ahead of Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) at 29.5%, as recent polls from late August show her holding a narrow edge or technical tie in first-round scenarios (typically 33-37% versus 28-35%) and similar closeness in projected runoffs. Her position stems from established name recognition as a senator and former federal deputy, formal party convention launch in early August with a broad coalition, and endorsements from over 100 mayors including those in major municipalities. Vicentinho Júnior remains competitive through his congressional profile and consistent second-place polling, while lower-polling candidates such as Laurez Moreira (PSD), Ataídes de Oliveira (Novo), and others register in single digits or below, reflecting limited momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the state’s electoral dynamics.

The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$17,170
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) leads the Tocantins gubernatorial race with 62.5% implied probability, ahead of Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) at 29.5%, as recent polls from late August show her holding a narrow edge or technical tie in first-round scenarios (typically 33-37% versus 28-35%) and similar closeness in projected runoffs. Her position stems from established name recognition as a senator and former federal deputy, formal party convention launch in early August with a broad coalition, and endorsements from over 100 mayors including those in major municipalities. Vicentinho Júnior remains competitive through his congressional profile and consistent second-place polling, while lower-polling candidates such as Laurez Moreira (PSD), Ataídes de Oliveira (Novo), and others register in single digits or below, reflecting limited momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the state’s electoral dynamics.

The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$17,170
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for ¿Omar Aziz ganará la elección para gobernador de Amazonas en 2026?

¿Omar Aziz ganará la elección para gobernador de Amazonas en 2026?

56%
Sí
icon for Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?

Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?

82%
icon for ¿Raquel Lyra ganará la elección para gobernadora de Pernambuco?

¿Raquel Lyra ganará la elección para gobernadora de Pernambuco?

69%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Tocantins" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Professora Dorinha" con 63%, seguido de "Vicentinho Júnior" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 63¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Tocantins" ha generado $17.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Tocantins", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Tocantins" es "Professora Dorinha" con 63%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 63% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Vicentinho Júnior" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Tocantins" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.