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icon for Elección al Senado de Roraima: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Roraima: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Roraima: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Roraima: 2do Lugar

Nicoletti 51.5%

Teresa Surita 26%

Helena da Asatur 19.7%

Helio Bolsonaro 4.1%

Polymarket

$62,541 Vol.

Nicoletti 51.5%

Teresa Surita 26%

Helena da Asatur 19.7%

Helio Bolsonaro 4.1%

Polymarket

$62,541 Vol.

icon for Nicoletti

Nicoletti

$11,121 Vol.

52%

icon for Teresa Surita

Teresa Surita

$18,485 Vol.

26%

icon for Helena da Asatur

Helena da Asatur

$4,672 Vol.

20%

icon for Helio Bolsonaro

Helio Bolsonaro

$9,065 Vol.

4%

icon for Chico Rodrigues

Chico Rodrigues

$13,612 Vol.

3%

icon for Pastor Isamar

Pastor Isamar

$952 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Rocha

Mario Rocha

$810 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bartô Macuxi

Bartô Macuxi

$581 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hilton Xavier

Hilton Xavier

$529 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hiperion de Oliveira

Hiperion de Oliveira

$569 Vol.

<1%

icon for Márcio Junqueira

Márcio Junqueira

$676 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regina Tio Ivo

Regina Tio Ivo

$887 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogério Miranda

Rogério Miranda

$583 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$62,541
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race features a fragmented field of 13 candidates contesting two seats on October 4, with voters selecting two names. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows Teresa Surita (MDB), Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) clustered within the margin of error at 19%, 17%, and 16% respectively in combined intentions, followed by Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%, amid 17% undecided and far higher spontaneous indecision. This positioning, combined with PL fielding multiple candidates and limited recent polling or alliance announcements, sustains tight implied probabilities for second place. Small shifts in undecided consolidation, regional turnout, or cross-endorsements could reorder the finish among the top three before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$62,541
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Roraima: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nicoletti" con 52%, seguido de "Teresa Surita" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elección al Senado de Roraima: 2do Lugar" ha generado $62.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Roraima: 2do Lugar", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Roraima: 2do Lugar" es "Nicoletti" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Teresa Surita" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Roraima: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.