João Azevêdo (PSB) holds an 86% implied probability for first place in the Paraíba Senate race, reflecting his strong polling lead as the former governor who resigned in April 2026 to run. Recent surveys from late August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him capturing 27–53% of consolidated first- and second-place intentions, far ahead of incumbent senator Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 17–37%. Azevêdo benefits from high name recognition, a broad multi-party coalition, and record approval ratings from his state executive tenure. Veneziano, seeking re-election, trails in first-vote preferences while other registered candidates such as Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and André Gadelha register single-digit support. The October 4 first-round vote, where each elector selects two senators, underpins the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJoao Azevêdo 86%
Veneziano 13.9%
Nabor 1.8%
João Batista <1%
$14,142 Vol.
$14,142 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Joao Azevêdo
86%
Veneziano
14%
Nabor
2%
João Batista
1%
André Gadelha
<1%
Adriano Trajano
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Major Fábio
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
<1%
Rosilene Santana
<1%
Joao Azevêdo 86%
Veneziano 13.9%
Nabor 1.8%
João Batista <1%
$14,142 Vol.
$14,142 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Joao Azevêdo
$8,388 Vol.
86%
Veneziano
$1,899 Vol.
14%
Nabor
$576 Vol.
2%
João Batista
$420 Vol.
1%
André Gadelha
$466 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Trajano
$507 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$437 Vol.
<1%
Major Fábio
$419 Vol.
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
$475 Vol.
<1%
Rosilene Santana
$554 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) holds an 86% implied probability for first place in the Paraíba Senate race, reflecting his strong polling lead as the former governor who resigned in April 2026 to run. Recent surveys from late August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him capturing 27–53% of consolidated first- and second-place intentions, far ahead of incumbent senator Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 17–37%. Azevêdo benefits from high name recognition, a broad multi-party coalition, and record approval ratings from his state executive tenure. Veneziano, seeking re-election, trails in first-vote preferences while other registered candidates such as Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and André Gadelha register single-digit support. The October 4 first-round vote, where each elector selects two senators, underpins the current trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volumen
$14,142Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) holds an 86% implied probability for first place in the Paraíba Senate race, reflecting his strong polling lead as the former governor who resigned in April 2026 to run. Recent surveys from late August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him capturing 27–53% of consolidated first- and second-place intentions, far ahead of incumbent senator Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 17–37%. Azevêdo benefits from high name recognition, a broad multi-party coalition, and record approval ratings from his state executive tenure. Veneziano, seeking re-election, trails in first-vote preferences while other registered candidates such as Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and André Gadelha register single-digit support. The October 4 first-round vote, where each elector selects two senators, underpins the current trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$14,142Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...João Azevêdo (PSB) holds an 86% implied probability for first place in the Paraíba Senate race, reflecting his strong polling lead as the former governor who resigned in April 2026 to run. Recent surveys from late August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him capturing 27–53% of consolidated first- and second-place intentions, far ahead of incumbent senator Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 17–37%. Azevêdo benefits from high name recognition, a broad multi-party coalition, and record approval ratings from his state executive tenure. Veneziano, seeking re-election, trails in first-vote preferences while other registered candidates such as Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and André Gadelha register single-digit support. The October 4 first-round vote, where each elector selects two senators, underpins the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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