**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state’s two seats.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data (Helder at 36% aggregated, 45% first vote) and AtlasIntel (42.8% first vote), place him well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and a cluster of rivals such as Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). Barbalho’s prior governorship, broad coalition backing, and name recognition underpin his position, while the second seat remains competitive. A recent Ministério Público electoral opinion questioned his eligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization from the governorship, though his candidacy remains registered and polling momentum has continued. Trader pricing for first place aligns with this sustained frontrunner status ahead of the single-round vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHelder 79%
Delegado Éder Mauro 14.1%
Zequinha Marinho 3.0%
Edlaine Rodrigues 2.4%
$18,416 Vol.
$18,416 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Helder
79%
Delegado Éder Mauro
14%
Zequinha Marinho
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
2%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Celso Sabino
1%
Conti
<1%
Chicão
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Helder 79%
Delegado Éder Mauro 14.1%
Zequinha Marinho 3.0%
Edlaine Rodrigues 2.4%
$18,416 Vol.
$18,416 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Helder
$12,773 Vol.
79%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$635 Vol.
14%
Zequinha Marinho
$574 Vol.
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$609 Vol.
2%
Breno Guimarães
$534 Vol.
1%
Fernanda Lopes
$731 Vol.
1%
Celso Sabino
$504 Vol.
1%
Conti
$556 Vol.
<1%
Chicão
$493 Vol.
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
$567 Vol.
<1%
Willem da Silva
$441 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state’s two seats.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data (Helder at 36% aggregated, 45% first vote) and AtlasIntel (42.8% first vote), place him well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and a cluster of rivals such as Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). Barbalho’s prior governorship, broad coalition backing, and name recognition underpin his position, while the second seat remains competitive. A recent Ministério Público electoral opinion questioned his eligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization from the governorship, though his candidacy remains registered and polling momentum has continued. Trader pricing for first place aligns with this sustained frontrunner status ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volumen
$18,416Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state’s two seats.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data (Helder at 36% aggregated, 45% first vote) and AtlasIntel (42.8% first vote), place him well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and a cluster of rivals such as Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). Barbalho’s prior governorship, broad coalition backing, and name recognition underpin his position, while the second seat remains competitive. A recent Ministério Público electoral opinion questioned his eligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization from the governorship, though his candidacy remains registered and polling momentum has continued. Trader pricing for first place aligns with this sustained frontrunner status ahead of the single-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$18,416Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first place in Pará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, where voters select two candidates for the state’s two seats.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data (Helder at 36% aggregated, 45% first vote) and AtlasIntel (42.8% first vote), place him well ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and a cluster of rivals such as Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). Barbalho’s prior governorship, broad coalition backing, and name recognition underpin his position, while the second seat remains competitive. A recent Ministério Público electoral opinion questioned his eligibility over incomplete desincompatibilization from the governorship, though his candidacy remains registered and polling momentum has continued. Trader pricing for first place aligns with this sustained frontrunner status ahead of the single-round vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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