Recent polling shows a fragmented Senate race in Brazil’s Federal District, with two seats at stake on October 4 and voters able to select two candidates. Michelle Bolsonaro leads overall intentions, yet Bia Kicis records the strongest second-preference support, positioning her as the frontrunner for second place in trader assessments. The PL’s dual candidacy creates potential vote splitting on the right, while Leila do Vôlei’s incumbency and Erika Kokay’s PT base keep the contest competitive. Low support for remaining names underscores the concentration among the top four. Further debate performances, coalition alignments, or late polling shifts could widen or narrow margins before voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBia Kicis 52.0%
Leila do Vôlei 35%
Michelle Bolsonaro 1.7%
Erika Kokay 1.1%
$44,130 Vol.
$44,130 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Bia Kicis
52%
Leila do Vôlei
32%
Michelle Bolsonaro
2%
Erika Kokay
6%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Marley
<1%
Profesor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Bia Kicis 52.0%
Leila do Vôlei 35%
Michelle Bolsonaro 1.7%
Erika Kokay 1.1%
$44,130 Vol.
$44,130 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Bia Kicis
$10,838 Vol.
52%
Leila do Vôlei
$15,367 Vol.
32%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$4,989 Vol.
2%
Erika Kokay
$7,037 Vol.
6%
Avenir Rosa
$437 Vol.
<1%
David Horn
$2,060 Vol.
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$381 Vol.
<1%
Marley
$392 Vol.
<1%
Profesor Guilherme Amorim
$878 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$407 Vol.
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$381 Vol.
<1%
Tiago
$546 Vol.
<1%
Zanata
$417 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows a fragmented Senate race in Brazil’s Federal District, with two seats at stake on October 4 and voters able to select two candidates. Michelle Bolsonaro leads overall intentions, yet Bia Kicis records the strongest second-preference support, positioning her as the frontrunner for second place in trader assessments. The PL’s dual candidacy creates potential vote splitting on the right, while Leila do Vôlei’s incumbency and Erika Kokay’s PT base keep the contest competitive. Low support for remaining names underscores the concentration among the top four. Further debate performances, coalition alignments, or late polling shifts could widen or narrow margins before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Volumen
$44,130Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows a fragmented Senate race in Brazil’s Federal District, with two seats at stake on October 4 and voters able to select two candidates. Michelle Bolsonaro leads overall intentions, yet Bia Kicis records the strongest second-preference support, positioning her as the frontrunner for second place in trader assessments. The PL’s dual candidacy creates potential vote splitting on the right, while Leila do Vôlei’s incumbency and Erika Kokay’s PT base keep the contest competitive. Low support for remaining names underscores the concentration among the top four. Further debate performances, coalition alignments, or late polling shifts could widen or narrow margins before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$44,130Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a fragmented Senate race in Brazil’s Federal District, with two seats at stake on October 4 and voters able to select two candidates. Michelle Bolsonaro leads overall intentions, yet Bia Kicis records the strongest second-preference support, positioning her as the frontrunner for second place in trader assessments. The PL’s dual candidacy creates potential vote splitting on the right, while Leila do Vôlei’s incumbency and Erika Kokay’s PT base keep the contest competitive. Low support for remaining names underscores the concentration among the top four. Further debate performances, coalition alignments, or late polling shifts could widen or narrow margins before voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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