Alma Adams's long incumbency and the NC-12 district's entrenched Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+24 and consistent results in central Mecklenburg County, underpin trader consensus for her re-election. She defeated a primary challenger in March 2026 and enters the November general against Republican nominee Jack Codiga, whose campaign has raised under $30,000 compared with Adams's substantial cash reserves. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or extreme national realignment that overcomes the district's structural baseline before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara NC-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara NC-12
$64,306 Vol.
$64,306 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Alma Adams (D)
96%
Jack Codiga (R)
3%
$64,306 Vol.
$64,306 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Alma Adams (D)
$17,082 Vol.
96%
Jack Codiga (R)
$47,224 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams's long incumbency and the NC-12 district's entrenched Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+24 and consistent results in central Mecklenburg County, underpin trader consensus for her re-election. She defeated a primary challenger in March 2026 and enters the November general against Republican nominee Jack Codiga, whose campaign has raised under $30,000 compared with Adams's substantial cash reserves. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or extreme national realignment that overcomes the district's structural baseline before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$64,306Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams's long incumbency and the NC-12 district's entrenched Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+24 and consistent results in central Mecklenburg County, underpin trader consensus for her re-election. She defeated a primary challenger in March 2026 and enters the November general against Republican nominee Jack Codiga, whose campaign has raised under $30,000 compared with Adams's substantial cash reserves. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or extreme national realignment that overcomes the district's structural baseline before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$64,306Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alma Adams's long incumbency and the NC-12 district's entrenched Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+24 and consistent results in central Mecklenburg County, underpin trader consensus for her re-election. She defeated a primary challenger in March 2026 and enters the November general against Republican nominee Jack Codiga, whose campaign has raised under $30,000 compared with Adams's substantial cash reserves. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or extreme national realignment that overcomes the district's structural baseline before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes