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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

¿Qué partido gana las elecciones presidenciales de 2028 en EE. UU.?

icon for ¿Qué partido gana las elecciones presidenciales de 2028 en EE. UU.?
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

¿Qué partido gana las elecciones presidenciales de 2028 en EE. UU.?

Polymarket

$2,388,669 Vol.

Polymarket

$2,388,669 Vol.

icon for Demócrata

Demócrata

$1,180,439 Vol.

65%

icon for Republicano

Republicano

$1,208,230 Vol.

34%

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Democrats hold a 64.5% implied probability in the 2028 presidential party market, ahead of Republicans at 34%, reflecting trader assessment of midterm headwinds and structural positioning. With President Trump's approval rating near 38% amid economic concerns including inflation, generic congressional ballot polls show Democrats leading by roughly 9 points as the November 2026 elections approach. Historical patterns indicate the president's party typically loses House seats in midterms, and current forecasts point to potential Democratic gains that could shape the subsequent presidential cycle. An open Democratic field contrasts with a Republican primary led by Vice President JD Vance, yet the broader party outlook favors Democrats entering 2028 due to these near-term dynamics and voter sentiment signals.

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volumen
$2,388,669
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 18, 2025, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Democrats hold a 64.5% implied probability in the 2028 presidential party market, ahead of Republicans at 34%, reflecting trader assessment of midterm headwinds and structural positioning. With President Trump's approval rating near 38% amid economic concerns including inflation, generic congressional ballot polls show Democrats leading by roughly 9 points as the November 2026 elections approach. Historical patterns indicate the president's party typically loses House seats in midterms, and current forecasts point to potential Democratic gains that could shape the subsequent presidential cycle. An open Democratic field contrasts with a Republican primary led by Vice President JD Vance, yet the broader party outlook favors Democrats entering 2028 due to these near-term dynamics and voter sentiment signals.

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volumen
$2,388,669
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 18, 2025, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué partido gana las elecciones presidenciales de 2028 en EE. UU.?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Demócrata" con 65%, seguido de "Republicano" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué partido gana las elecciones presidenciales de 2028 en EE. UU.?" ha generado $2.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué partido gana las elecciones presidenciales de 2028 en EE. UU.?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué partido gana las elecciones presidenciales de 2028 en EE. UU.?" es "Demócrata" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Republicano" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué partido gana las elecciones presidenciales de 2028 en EE. UU.?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.