Jamie Ager leads the NC-11 House race at 62% implied probability after Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee finding and subsequent censure over sexual harassment violations. State Rep. Jennifer Balkcom secured the GOP nomination days later, gaining Trump endorsement and NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program, but faces a compressed timeline with ballots already mailing. Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who won the Democratic primary by a wide margin, holds a significant fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. The district, which leaned Republican in recent cycles, has seen trader consensus shift toward the Democratic challenger amid the late nominee change and ethics fallout heading into the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$15,862 Vol.
$15,862 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Jamie Ager (D)
63%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)
37%
$15,862 Vol.
$15,862 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Jamie Ager (D)
$7,358 Vol.
63%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)
$8,504 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Ager leads the NC-11 House race at 62% implied probability after Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee finding and subsequent censure over sexual harassment violations. State Rep. Jennifer Balkcom secured the GOP nomination days later, gaining Trump endorsement and NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program, but faces a compressed timeline with ballots already mailing. Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who won the Democratic primary by a wide margin, holds a significant fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. The district, which leaned Republican in recent cycles, has seen trader consensus shift toward the Democratic challenger amid the late nominee change and ethics fallout heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volumen
$15,862Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Ager leads the NC-11 House race at 62% implied probability after Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee finding and subsequent censure over sexual harassment violations. State Rep. Jennifer Balkcom secured the GOP nomination days later, gaining Trump endorsement and NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program, but faces a compressed timeline with ballots already mailing. Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who won the Democratic primary by a wide margin, holds a significant fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. The district, which leaned Republican in recent cycles, has seen trader consensus shift toward the Democratic challenger amid the late nominee change and ethics fallout heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,862Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jamie Ager leads the NC-11 House race at 62% implied probability after Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee finding and subsequent censure over sexual harassment violations. State Rep. Jennifer Balkcom secured the GOP nomination days later, gaining Trump endorsement and NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program, but faces a compressed timeline with ballots already mailing. Ager, a fourth-generation farmer who won the Democratic primary by a wide margin, holds a significant fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. The district, which leaned Republican in recent cycles, has seen trader consensus shift toward the Democratic challenger amid the late nominee change and ethics fallout heading into the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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