Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, secured a dominant 84% in the June 2026 top-two primary against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, advancing both to the November general in California's 12th district. The seat carries a D+39 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent strong Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and making it one of the most reliably Democratic districts nationwide. With no Republican candidate reaching the general election ballot, trader consensus reflects the structural barrier this creates for the Republican Party. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late-breaking developments such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen health event could theoretically alter dynamics before Election Day, though the district's partisan composition and primary results limit realistic pathways for any shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$44,263 Vol.
$44,263 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
98%
Partido Republicano
<1%
$44,263 Vol.
$44,263 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$27,011 Vol.
98%
Partido Republicano
$17,251 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, secured a dominant 84% in the June 2026 top-two primary against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, advancing both to the November general in California's 12th district. The seat carries a D+39 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent strong Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and making it one of the most reliably Democratic districts nationwide. With no Republican candidate reaching the general election ballot, trader consensus reflects the structural barrier this creates for the Republican Party. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late-breaking developments such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen health event could theoretically alter dynamics before Election Day, though the district's partisan composition and primary results limit realistic pathways for any shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$44,263Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, secured a dominant 84% in the June 2026 top-two primary against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, advancing both to the November general in California's 12th district. The seat carries a D+39 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent strong Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and making it one of the most reliably Democratic districts nationwide. With no Republican candidate reaching the general election ballot, trader consensus reflects the structural barrier this creates for the Republican Party. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late-breaking developments such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen health event could theoretically alter dynamics before Election Day, though the district's partisan composition and primary results limit realistic pathways for any shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$44,263Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent, secured a dominant 84% in the June 2026 top-two primary against fellow Democrat Jamie Joyce, advancing both to the November general in California's 12th district. The seat carries a D+39 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent strong Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and making it one of the most reliably Democratic districts nationwide. With no Republican candidate reaching the general election ballot, trader consensus reflects the structural barrier this creates for the Republican Party. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late-breaking developments such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unforeseen health event could theoretically alter dynamics before Election Day, though the district's partisan composition and primary results limit realistic pathways for any shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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