Recent polling averages place the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with results varying by turnout models and bloc dynamics. The alliance's August 2026 reunification aims to consolidate Arab voter support after years of fragmentation, yet separate Ra'am candidacies and disqualification petitions filed against the list and its candidates introduce uncertainty over final ballot access and participation rates. Trader ranges remain compressed because small shifts in Arab-sector turnout or surplus agreements with other parties can move the outcome by a seat or two, while broader polarization between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs limits crossover effects. Hearings on the petitions and final campaign mobilization will likely determine whether the list lands closer to the lower or upper end of current projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado8-9 39%
6-7 24%
<6 17%
10-11 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<6
17%
6-7
30%
8-9
39%
10-11
17%
12+
3%
8-9 39%
6-7 24%
<6 17%
10-11 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<6
$391 Vol.
17%
6-7
$236 Vol.
30%
8-9
$1,783 Vol.
39%
10-11
$286 Vol.
17%
12+
$395 Vol.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with results varying by turnout models and bloc dynamics. The alliance's August 2026 reunification aims to consolidate Arab voter support after years of fragmentation, yet separate Ra'am candidacies and disqualification petitions filed against the list and its candidates introduce uncertainty over final ballot access and participation rates. Trader ranges remain compressed because small shifts in Arab-sector turnout or surplus agreements with other parties can move the outcome by a seat or two, while broader polarization between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs limits crossover effects. Hearings on the petitions and final campaign mobilization will likely determine whether the list lands closer to the lower or upper end of current projections.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volumen
$3,091Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with results varying by turnout models and bloc dynamics. The alliance's August 2026 reunification aims to consolidate Arab voter support after years of fragmentation, yet separate Ra'am candidacies and disqualification petitions filed against the list and its candidates introduce uncertainty over final ballot access and participation rates. Trader ranges remain compressed because small shifts in Arab-sector turnout or surplus agreements with other parties can move the outcome by a seat or two, while broader polarization between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs limits crossover effects. Hearings on the petitions and final campaign mobilization will likely determine whether the list lands closer to the lower or upper end of current projections.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$3,091Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) near 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with results varying by turnout models and bloc dynamics. The alliance's August 2026 reunification aims to consolidate Arab voter support after years of fragmentation, yet separate Ra'am candidacies and disqualification petitions filed against the list and its candidates introduce uncertainty over final ballot access and participation rates. Trader ranges remain compressed because small shifts in Arab-sector turnout or surplus agreements with other parties can move the outcome by a seat or two, while broader polarization between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs limits crossover effects. Hearings on the petitions and final campaign mobilization will likely determine whether the list lands closer to the lower or upper end of current projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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