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icon for Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu
Política·Taiwán

Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu

icon for Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu
Política·Taiwán

Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu

Cheng Chao-fang 64%

Hsu Hsin-ying 37%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$14,752 Vol.

Cheng Chao-fang 64%

Hsu Hsin-ying 37%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$14,752 Vol.

icon for Cheng Chao-fang

Cheng Chao-fang

$7,341 Vol.

64%

icon for Hsu Hsin-ying

Hsu Hsin-ying

$5,580 Vol.

37%

icon for Lin Szu-ming

Lin Szu-ming

$1,073 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chen Chien-hsien

Chen Chien-hsien

$757 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang holds the leading position in the Hsinchu County magistrate race as the DPP nominee, reflecting trader consensus on his momentum after a September 21 poll showed him ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying by 6.4 points. Cheng, Zhubei mayor since 2022, benefits from strong local support in the county's most populous city and recent gains among undecided and former third-party voters following the breakdown of KMT-TPP coordination on related races. Hsu secured her party's nomination in March via a mixed primary process and retains geographic strength outside Zhubei, though recent polling indicates erosion in overall favorability. The November 28 election features a de facto two-candidate contest, with minor candidates registering negligible market pricing amid standard local factors such as turnout patterns and municipal performance records.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$14,752
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang holds the leading position in the Hsinchu County magistrate race as the DPP nominee, reflecting trader consensus on his momentum after a September 21 poll showed him ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying by 6.4 points. Cheng, Zhubei mayor since 2022, benefits from strong local support in the county's most populous city and recent gains among undecided and former third-party voters following the breakdown of KMT-TPP coordination on related races. Hsu secured her party's nomination in March via a mixed primary process and retains geographic strength outside Zhubei, though recent polling indicates erosion in overall favorability. The November 28 election features a de facto two-candidate contest, with minor candidates registering negligible market pricing amid standard local factors such as turnout patterns and municipal performance records.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$14,752
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cheng Chao-fang" con 64%, seguido de "Hsu Hsin-ying" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 64¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu" ha generado $14.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 14, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu" es "Cheng Chao-fang" con 64%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Hsu Hsin-ying" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Hsinchu" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.