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icon for ¿Qué partidos ganarán al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?

¿Qué partidos ganarán al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?

icon for ¿Qué partidos ganarán al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?

¿Qué partidos ganarán al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?

$95,411 Vol.

20 sep 2026
Polymarket

$95,411 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Rodina

Rodina

$13,819 Vol.

99%

icon for Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)

Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)

$5,675 Vol.

98%

icon for Yabloko

Yabloko

$58,569 Vol.

6%

icon for Partido Ecológico Ruso “Los Verdes”

Partido Ecológico Ruso “Los Verdes”

$12,628 Vol.

5%

icon for Partido de los Pensionistas de Rusia por la Justicia Social

Partido de los Pensionistas de Rusia por la Justicia Social

$4,720 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The September 2026 Russian State Duma elections, held over three days from September 18–20, featured the five parties already represented in the outgoing parliament competing under the mixed electoral system of proportional lists (5% threshold) and single-member districts. Preliminary Central Election Commission tallies showed United Russia leading with roughly 57% of the party-list vote, followed by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation near 14%, LDPR around 9%, New People near 8%, and A Just Russia just above 5%, positioning all five to clear the threshold and gain proportional seats while United Russia captured the large majority of single-mandate constituencies. Yabloko’s federal list was disqualified earlier by court ruling, leaving no registered anti-war option on the ballot. Official results and final seat allocations remain subject to ongoing count and confirmation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$95,411
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The September 2026 Russian State Duma elections, held over three days from September 18–20, featured the five parties already represented in the outgoing parliament competing under the mixed electoral system of proportional lists (5% threshold) and single-member districts. Preliminary Central Election Commission tallies showed United Russia leading with roughly 57% of the party-list vote, followed by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation near 14%, LDPR around 9%, New People near 8%, and A Just Russia just above 5%, positioning all five to clear the threshold and gain proportional seats while United Russia captured the large majority of single-mandate constituencies. Yabloko’s federal list was disqualified earlier by court ruling, leaving no registered anti-war option on the ballot. Official results and final seat allocations remain subject to ongoing count and confirmation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$95,411
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué partidos ganarán al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rodina" con 99%, seguido de "Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)" con 98%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué partidos ganarán al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?" ha generado $95.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué partidos ganarán al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué partidos ganarán al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?" es "Rodina" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)" con 98%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué partidos ganarán al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.