Russia's State Duma elections concluded on September 20, 2026, after three days of voting that incorporated expanded remote electronic voting platforms and concurrent regional contests. Official Central Election Commission data showed turnout climbing steadily past 50% mid-day on the final day and finishing at levels above the 51.72% recorded in 2021, driven by high participation on federal digital platforms exceeding 90% in multiple regions and notable engagement among overseas voters. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 59-62% bracket because these structural features—multi-day polling, electronic options, and coordinated mobilization around sovereignty themes—have consistently lifted participation above recent parliamentary baselines while remaining short of wartime peaks. The 56-59% range holds secondary support as a close alternative if final certified figures align more closely with mid-election snapshots. No major disruptions or last-minute policy shifts have altered the trajectory in the immediate post-voting window.