Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a high-pressure system dominating northern France with light northeasterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk through September 23. This setup favors daytime warming above the long-term average high of 20.4°C, with consensus maxima clustered near 25–26°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, as ensemble consistency leaves limited room for significant downward revision absent an unexpected frontal passage. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris stations, where small model spreads in maximum temperature support the current market-implied odds for those two outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 23 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 23 de septiembre?
26°C 51%
25°C 41%
24°C 8%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
21°C o menos
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
41%
26°C
51%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C o superior
2%
26°C 51%
25°C 41%
24°C 8%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$531 Vol.
8%
25°C
$566 Vol.
41%
26°C
$1,792 Vol.
51%
27°C
$202 Vol.
5%
28°C
$165 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C o superior
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a high-pressure system dominating northern France with light northeasterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk through September 23. This setup favors daytime warming above the long-term average high of 20.4°C, with consensus maxima clustered near 25–26°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, as ensemble consistency leaves limited room for significant downward revision absent an unexpected frontal passage. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris stations, where small model spreads in maximum temperature support the current market-implied odds for those two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$3,287Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a high-pressure system dominating northern France with light northeasterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk through September 23. This setup favors daytime warming above the long-term average high of 20.4°C, with consensus maxima clustered near 25–26°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, as ensemble consistency leaves limited room for significant downward revision absent an unexpected frontal passage. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris stations, where small model spreads in maximum temperature support the current market-implied odds for those two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,287Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a high-pressure system dominating northern France with light northeasterly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk through September 23. This setup favors daytime warming above the long-term average high of 20.4°C, with consensus maxima clustered near 25–26°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, as ensemble consistency leaves limited room for significant downward revision absent an unexpected frontal passage. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris stations, where small model spreads in maximum temperature support the current market-implied odds for those two outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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