Persistent northeasterly winds and extensive cloud cover from a stalled frontal boundary are suppressing daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting a Tuesday high of 61–64 °F. This cool, stable pattern—marked by onshore flow off Lake Michigan and limited solar insolation—keeps readings well below late-September normals. Minor differences among model solutions in the exact timing of partial clearing and wind gusts create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, with the 60–63 °F bins capturing the bulk of consensus. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model cycles will further narrow the likely peak temperature ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 22 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 22 de septiembre?
62-63°F 37%
60-61°F 32%
64-65°F 20%
58-59°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
53°F o menos
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
37%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F o más
<1%
62-63°F 37%
60-61°F 32%
64-65°F 20%
58-59°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
53°F o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
54-55°F
$76 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$40 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$1,032 Vol.
15%
60-61°F
$307 Vol.
32%
62-63°F
$448 Vol.
37%
64-65°F
$488 Vol.
20%
66-67°F
$40 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$75 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$92 Vol.
<1%
72°F o más
$141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeasterly winds and extensive cloud cover from a stalled frontal boundary are suppressing daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting a Tuesday high of 61–64 °F. This cool, stable pattern—marked by onshore flow off Lake Michigan and limited solar insolation—keeps readings well below late-September normals. Minor differences among model solutions in the exact timing of partial clearing and wind gusts create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, with the 60–63 °F bins capturing the bulk of consensus. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model cycles will further narrow the likely peak temperature ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,739Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeasterly winds and extensive cloud cover from a stalled frontal boundary are suppressing daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting a Tuesday high of 61–64 °F. This cool, stable pattern—marked by onshore flow off Lake Michigan and limited solar insolation—keeps readings well below late-September normals. Minor differences among model solutions in the exact timing of partial clearing and wind gusts create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, with the 60–63 °F bins capturing the bulk of consensus. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model cycles will further narrow the likely peak temperature ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,739Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent northeasterly winds and extensive cloud cover from a stalled frontal boundary are suppressing daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting a Tuesday high of 61–64 °F. This cool, stable pattern—marked by onshore flow off Lake Michigan and limited solar insolation—keeps readings well below late-September normals. Minor differences among model solutions in the exact timing of partial clearing and wind gusts create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, with the 60–63 °F bins capturing the bulk of consensus. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model cycles will further narrow the likely peak temperature ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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