**Recent official forecasts and live observations from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 22°C in Warsaw on September 20, 2026, under widespread rain and moderate southwesterly flow.** Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs and local agency guidance, converged on afternoon peaks near this value, with current readings climbing into the low 20s °C before evening cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where highs typically range 18–21°C but can reach the low 20s under favorable southerly advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 22°C reflects the tight clustering of verified data around this threshold, with minimal dispersion in model outputs or station reports. Only an unexpected revision in the official highest reading—such as from precise station siting or measurement timing—could realistically alter resolution, though current evidence makes such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 20 de septiembre?
22°C 100.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$43,873 Vol.
$43,873 Vol.
20 sep 2026
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
22°C 100.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$43,873 Vol.
$43,873 Vol.
20 sep 2026
16°C o menos
$5,557 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,201 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5,991 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$11,222 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,402 Vol.
100%
23°C
$4,290 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,106 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,356 Vol.
<1%
26°C o más
$221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and live observations from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 22°C in Warsaw on September 20, 2026, under widespread rain and moderate southwesterly flow.** Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs and local agency guidance, converged on afternoon peaks near this value, with current readings climbing into the low 20s °C before evening cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where highs typically range 18–21°C but can reach the low 20s under favorable southerly advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 22°C reflects the tight clustering of verified data around this threshold, with minimal dispersion in model outputs or station reports. Only an unexpected revision in the official highest reading—such as from precise station siting or measurement timing—could realistically alter resolution, though current evidence makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$43,873Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and live observations from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 22°C in Warsaw on September 20, 2026, under widespread rain and moderate southwesterly flow.** Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs and local agency guidance, converged on afternoon peaks near this value, with current readings climbing into the low 20s °C before evening cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where highs typically range 18–21°C but can reach the low 20s under favorable southerly advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 22°C reflects the tight clustering of verified data around this threshold, with minimal dispersion in model outputs or station reports. Only an unexpected revision in the official highest reading—such as from precise station siting or measurement timing—could realistically alter resolution, though current evidence makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$43,873Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
**Recent official forecasts and live observations from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 22°C in Warsaw on September 20, 2026, under widespread rain and moderate southwesterly flow.** Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs and local agency guidance, converged on afternoon peaks near this value, with current readings climbing into the low 20s °C before evening cooling. This aligns with September climatology for the region, where highs typically range 18–21°C but can reach the low 20s under favorable southerly advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 22°C reflects the tight clustering of verified data around this threshold, with minimal dispersion in model outputs or station reports. Only an unexpected revision in the official highest reading—such as from precise station siting or measurement timing—could realistically alter resolution, though current evidence makes such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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