Official measurements from the Netherlands' meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Amsterdam on September 17, 2026, anchoring the 100% market-implied probability. Post-event verification of station data, including any quality-controlled adjustments for siting or instrumentation, has eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty that existed in prior days. Historical September averages for the region hover near 18–20°C, making this outcome consistent with cooler-than-normal conditions driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision exceeding instrument precision limits, which occurs infrequently and typically only under documented calibration issues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 17 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 17 de septiembre?
17°C 100.0%
12°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$43,041 Vol.
$43,041 Vol.
17 sep 2026
12°C o menos
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Sí
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C o más
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$43,041 Vol.
$43,041 Vol.
17 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$387 Vol.
No
13°C
$333 Vol.
No
14°C
$220 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,590 Vol.
No
16°C
$7,150 Vol.
No
17°C
$14,352 Vol.
Sí
18°C
$8,028 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,875 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,102 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,729 Vol.
No
22°C o más
$274 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the Netherlands' meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Amsterdam on September 17, 2026, anchoring the 100% market-implied probability. Post-event verification of station data, including any quality-controlled adjustments for siting or instrumentation, has eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty that existed in prior days. Historical September averages for the region hover near 18–20°C, making this outcome consistent with cooler-than-normal conditions driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision exceeding instrument precision limits, which occurs infrequently and typically only under documented calibration issues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$43,041Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the Netherlands' meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Amsterdam on September 17, 2026, anchoring the 100% market-implied probability. Post-event verification of station data, including any quality-controlled adjustments for siting or instrumentation, has eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty that existed in prior days. Historical September averages for the region hover near 18–20°C, making this outcome consistent with cooler-than-normal conditions driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision exceeding instrument precision limits, which occurs infrequently and typically only under documented calibration issues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$43,041Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official measurements from the Netherlands' meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 17°C in Amsterdam on September 17, 2026, anchoring the 100% market-implied probability. Post-event verification of station data, including any quality-controlled adjustments for siting or instrumentation, has eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty that existed in prior days. Historical September averages for the region hover near 18–20°C, making this outcome consistent with cooler-than-normal conditions driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision exceeding instrument precision limits, which occurs infrequently and typically only under documented calibration issues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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