Recent FOMC action lifting the federal funds target range to 3.75–4.00% on September 16, alongside median projections for a 4.1% end-2026 rate and PCE inflation at 3.7%, anchors the market-implied path. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, resilient 2.3% GDP growth, and a 4.1% unemployment rate have shifted the Committee toward additional tightening, with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one more 25-basis-point move by year-end. The narrow gap between Hike–Hike–Hike and Hike–Pause–Hike sequences reflects trader focus on data-dependent timing, particularly October and December employment and inflation releases that could alter the pace of further adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSubida–Subida–Subida 35%
Subir–Pausar–Subir 29%
Subida–subida–pausa 19%
Subida–Pausa–Pausa 12%
$93,670 Vol.
$93,670 Vol.
9 dic 2026
Subir–Pausar–Subir
29%
Subida–Pausa–Pausa
12%
Subida–Subida–Subida
35%
Subida–subida–pausa
19%
Otro
4%
Subida–Subida–Subida 35%
Subir–Pausar–Subir 29%
Subida–subida–pausa 19%
Subida–Pausa–Pausa 12%
$93,670 Vol.
$93,670 Vol.
9 dic 2026
Subir–Pausar–Subir
$7,783 Vol.
29%
Subida–Pausa–Pausa
$18,644 Vol.
12%
Subida–Subida–Subida
$17,880 Vol.
35%
Subida–subida–pausa
$21,915 Vol.
19%
Otro
$5,063 Vol.
4%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC action lifting the federal funds target range to 3.75–4.00% on September 16, alongside median projections for a 4.1% end-2026 rate and PCE inflation at 3.7%, anchors the market-implied path. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, resilient 2.3% GDP growth, and a 4.1% unemployment rate have shifted the Committee toward additional tightening, with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one more 25-basis-point move by year-end. The narrow gap between Hike–Hike–Hike and Hike–Pause–Hike sequences reflects trader focus on data-dependent timing, particularly October and December employment and inflation releases that could alter the pace of further adjustments.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Volumen
$93,670Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC action lifting the federal funds target range to 3.75–4.00% on September 16, alongside median projections for a 4.1% end-2026 rate and PCE inflation at 3.7%, anchors the market-implied path. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, resilient 2.3% GDP growth, and a 4.1% unemployment rate have shifted the Committee toward additional tightening, with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one more 25-basis-point move by year-end. The narrow gap between Hike–Hike–Hike and Hike–Pause–Hike sequences reflects trader focus on data-dependent timing, particularly October and December employment and inflation releases that could alter the pace of further adjustments.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Volumen
$93,670Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC action lifting the federal funds target range to 3.75–4.00% on September 16, alongside median projections for a 4.1% end-2026 rate and PCE inflation at 3.7%, anchors the market-implied path. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, resilient 2.3% GDP growth, and a 4.1% unemployment rate have shifted the Committee toward additional tightening, with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one more 25-basis-point move by year-end. The narrow gap between Hike–Hike–Hike and Hike–Pause–Hike sequences reflects trader focus on data-dependent timing, particularly October and December employment and inflation releases that could alter the pace of further adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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