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icon for Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Acre
Política·Brasil

Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Acre

icon for Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Acre
Política·Brasil

Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Acre

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.8%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.8%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$5,032 Vol.

98%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$312 Vol.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$374 Vol.

1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$312 Vol.

1%

icon for Lula

Lula

$329 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$332 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$312 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$369 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$439 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$401 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$407 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round presidential voting on October 4, reflecting sustained regional polling leads of roughly 20 points or more over the nearest competitors. Multiple state-level surveys from mid-2026 onward show the Liberal Party senator capturing 42-51% of intentions in the Amazonian state, supported by strong conservative voter alignment, high rejection rates for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and limited inroads by other registered candidates. National dynamics, including the Liberal Party convention and endorsements within Bolsonarismo, have reinforced this local advantage without notable erosion in recent months. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp last-minute turnout shifts, unforeseen legal or health developments affecting major candidates, or a rapid national swing in voter sentiment that reaches Acre before ballots close.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$9,359
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for first place in Acre’s first-round presidential voting on October 4, reflecting sustained regional polling leads of roughly 20 points or more over the nearest competitors. Multiple state-level surveys from mid-2026 onward show the Liberal Party senator capturing 42-51% of intentions in the Amazonian state, supported by strong conservative voter alignment, high rejection rates for incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and limited inroads by other registered candidates. National dynamics, including the Liberal Party convention and endorsements within Bolsonarismo, have reinforced this local advantage without notable erosion in recent months. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include sharp last-minute turnout shifts, unforeseen legal or health developments affecting major candidates, or a rapid national swing in voter sentiment that reaches Acre before ballots close.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$9,359
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Acre" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 98%, seguido de "Rui Costa Pimenta" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Acre" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Acre", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Acre" es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Rui Costa Pimenta" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Acre" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.