Arthur Lira (PP) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Alagoas’s Senate contest, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), with the three candidates clustered within a few points in recent polling. Each voter selects two names for the state’s two seats, which keeps the race competitive and rewards name recognition plus coalition reach across Maceió and the interior. Marina JHC entered late after her husband JHC shifted to the gubernatorial race, creating an alliance that preserved Lira’s positioning while adding a new contender with strong capital support but weaker statewide visibility. Upcoming October 4 voting and any final campaign momentum in undecided or interior segments remain the main variables that could reorder the finish.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoArthur Lira 43%
Renan 27%
Marina JHC 21.5%
Alexandre Fleming 1.8%
$21,740 Vol.
$21,740 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Arthur Lira
43%
Renan
27%
Marina JHC
22%
Alexandre Fleming
2%
Dr. Wanderley
1%
Mariedson
<1%
Davi Davino Filho
<1%
Arthur Lira 43%
Renan 27%
Marina JHC 21.5%
Alexandre Fleming 1.8%
$21,740 Vol.
$21,740 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Arthur Lira
$11,336 Vol.
43%
Renan
$7,341 Vol.
27%
Marina JHC
$1,273 Vol.
22%
Alexandre Fleming
$453 Vol.
2%
Dr. Wanderley
$536 Vol.
1%
Mariedson
$408 Vol.
<1%
Davi Davino Filho
$393 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Lira (PP) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Alagoas’s Senate contest, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), with the three candidates clustered within a few points in recent polling. Each voter selects two names for the state’s two seats, which keeps the race competitive and rewards name recognition plus coalition reach across Maceió and the interior. Marina JHC entered late after her husband JHC shifted to the gubernatorial race, creating an alliance that preserved Lira’s positioning while adding a new contender with strong capital support but weaker statewide visibility. Upcoming October 4 voting and any final campaign momentum in undecided or interior segments remain the main variables that could reorder the finish.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Volumen
$21,740Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Lira (PP) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Alagoas’s Senate contest, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), with the three candidates clustered within a few points in recent polling. Each voter selects two names for the state’s two seats, which keeps the race competitive and rewards name recognition plus coalition reach across Maceió and the interior. Marina JHC entered late after her husband JHC shifted to the gubernatorial race, creating an alliance that preserved Lira’s positioning while adding a new contender with strong capital support but weaker statewide visibility. Upcoming October 4 voting and any final campaign momentum in undecided or interior segments remain the main variables that could reorder the finish.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$21,740Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Lira (PP) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for first place in Alagoas’s Senate contest, followed by Renan Calheiros (MDB) and Marina JHC (PSDB), with the three candidates clustered within a few points in recent polling. Each voter selects two names for the state’s two seats, which keeps the race competitive and rewards name recognition plus coalition reach across Maceió and the interior. Marina JHC entered late after her husband JHC shifted to the gubernatorial race, creating an alliance that preserved Lira’s positioning while adding a new contender with strong capital support but weaker statewide visibility. Upcoming October 4 voting and any final campaign momentum in undecided or interior segments remain the main variables that could reorder the finish.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Obtendrá Marina JHC la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Alagoas de 2026?
37%
Sí
Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?
81%
¿Michelle Bolsonaro obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado del Distrito Federal de 2026?
83%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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