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icon for Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?

Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?

icon for Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?

Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?

Jan. 1, 2027

Jan. 1, 2027

Ja

6% Chance
Polymarket

$90,952 Vol.

Ja

6% Chance
Polymarket

$90,952 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Israeli settlement expansion and administrative measures in the West Bank have accelerated in 2026 through tenders for thousands of housing units, including major E1 projects that fragment Palestinian territory, alongside land registration reforms and expanded Civil Administration authority.** These steps advance de facto control without formal legislative annexation of sovereignty. With Israeli parliamentary elections scheduled for late October 2026, the current government has prioritized irreversible facts on the ground ahead of a potential transition. U.S. opposition to formal annexation, combined with the short remaining timeline before 2027 and the procedural requirements for Knesset approval of sovereignty measures, supports trader consensus that legal incorporation of territory remains unlikely. International diplomatic pressure and focus on ongoing settlement activity further reinforce the low implied probability of formal annexation by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$90,952
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Israeli settlement expansion and administrative measures in the West Bank have accelerated in 2026 through tenders for thousands of housing units, including major E1 projects that fragment Palestinian territory, alongside land registration reforms and expanded Civil Administration authority.** These steps advance de facto control without formal legislative annexation of sovereignty. With Israeli parliamentary elections scheduled for late October 2026, the current government has prioritized irreversible facts on the ground ahead of a potential transition. U.S. opposition to formal annexation, combined with the short remaining timeline before 2027 and the procedural requirements for Knesset approval of sovereignty measures, supports trader consensus that legal incorporation of territory remains unlikely. International diplomatic pressure and focus on ongoing settlement activity further reinforce the low implied probability of formal annexation by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$90,952
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird Israel vor 2027 Gebiete im Westjordanland annektieren?" mit 6%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 6¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 6% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $91K generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 5, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Dies ist ein offener Markt. Der aktuelle Spitzenreiter für „Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?" ist „Wird Israel vor 2027 Gebiete im Westjordanland annektieren?" mit nur 6%. Da kein Ergebnis eine starke Mehrheit hat, sehen Händler dies als hochgradig unsicher an, was einzigartige Handelsmöglichkeiten bieten kann. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert – speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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