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icon for Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

icon for Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

$456,712 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$456,712 Vol.

Polymarket

Stefan Brodie

$2,809 Vol.

20%

Roger Stone

$7,846 Vol.

20%

Donald Brodie

$3,973 Vol.

17%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,534 Vol.

15%

Ryan Salame

$31,464 Vol.

12%

Daniel Penny

$508 Vol.

11%

Steve Bannon

$8,029 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,369 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,101 Vol.

9%

Roger Ver

$1,617 Vol.

8%

Matt Gaetz

$5,163 Vol.

7%

Young Thug

$4,702 Vol.

6%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

6%

Julian Assange

$4,218 Vol.

6%

Martin Shkreli

$30,439 Vol.

5%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,607 Vol.

5%

Nicolás Maduro

$10,351 Vol.

5%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,849 Vol.

5%

Diddy

$30,169 Vol.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$135,732 Vol.

4%

Edward Snowden

$3,183 Vol.

4%

Derek Chauvin

$26,571 Vol.

4%

Antoine Massey

$2,480 Vol.

3%

Andrew Tate

$1,035 Vol.

3%

Sich selbst

$13,648 Vol.

3%

Do Kwon

$23,621 Vol.

3%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has granted clemency to more than 1,700 individuals since January 2025, including a blanket pardon for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day and subsequent grants tied to 2020 election matters, crypto figures, and white-collar cases. Recent September 2026 actions added 30 grants covering drug offenses, bribery, and firearms violations, often routed through White House channels rather than the traditional DOJ process. Access via political allies, donors, and intermediaries has shaped outcomes, with public statements signaling openness to additional names before the end of 2026. Midterm dynamics, anniversary-related proposals, and individual lobbying efforts remain key variables that could expand the list of recipients.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$456,712
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has granted clemency to more than 1,700 individuals since January 2025, including a blanket pardon for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day and subsequent grants tied to 2020 election matters, crypto figures, and white-collar cases. Recent September 2026 actions added 30 grants covering drug offenses, bribery, and firearms violations, often routed through White House channels rather than the traditional DOJ process. Access via political allies, donors, and intermediaries has shaped outcomes, with public statements signaling openness to additional names before the end of 2026. Midterm dynamics, anniversary-related proposals, and individual lobbying efforts remain key variables that could expand the list of recipients.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$456,712
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 28 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Stefan Brodie" mit 20%, gefolgt von „Roger Stone" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 20¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 20% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $456.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 18, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 28 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?" ist „Stefan Brodie" mit 20%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 20% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Roger Stone" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.