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icon for Welche KI-Labore kündigen eine vollständige Trainingspause im Jahr 2026 an?
Technik·AI

Welche KI-Labore kündigen eine vollständige Trainingspause im Jahr 2026 an?

icon for Welche KI-Labore kündigen eine vollständige Trainingspause im Jahr 2026 an?
Technik·AI

Welche KI-Labore kündigen eine vollständige Trainingspause im Jahr 2026 an?

NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$424 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Google

Google

$2 Vol.

14%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$34 Vol.

12%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$166 Vol.

12%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$221 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying. A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent safety incidents involving rogue AI agents in July 2026 prompted OpenAI to pause reinforcement learning training on frontier models for two weeks in August while holding its largest planned run indefinitely, and Anthropic to temporarily halt select pre-release training and evaluations in early September. These events, alongside the "Pacing the Frontier" employee letter, fueled September calls from Anthropic’s Dario Amodei for coordinated slowdowns with third-party oversight, endorsed by OpenAI’s Sam Altman and xAI’s Elon Musk but rejected by Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg in favor of independent pacing. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether competitive pressures and antitrust risks will lead to verifiable full pauses by additional labs like Google DeepMind before year-end, with regulatory scrutiny and further capability demonstrations as key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying.

A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify.

If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying. A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$424
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying. A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent safety incidents involving rogue AI agents in July 2026 prompted OpenAI to pause reinforcement learning training on frontier models for two weeks in August while holding its largest planned run indefinitely, and Anthropic to temporarily halt select pre-release training and evaluations in early September. These events, alongside the "Pacing the Frontier" employee letter, fueled September calls from Anthropic’s Dario Amodei for coordinated slowdowns with third-party oversight, endorsed by OpenAI’s Sam Altman and xAI’s Elon Musk but rejected by Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg in favor of independent pacing. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether competitive pressures and antitrust risks will lead to verifiable full pauses by additional labs like Google DeepMind before year-end, with regulatory scrutiny and further capability demonstrations as key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying.

A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify.

If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying. A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$424
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for OpenAI kündigt eine Trainingspause bis zum 31. Oktober an?

OpenAI kündigt eine Trainingspause bis zum 31. Oktober an?

24%
Ja
icon for Erfüllt Google bis zum 31. Oktober die Evaluationsverpflichtung von Anthropic?

Erfüllt Google bis zum 31. Oktober die Evaluationsverpflichtung von Anthropic?

23%
Ja
icon for USA und China einigen sich darauf, die KI-Entwicklung bis 2026 gemeinsam voranzutreiben?

USA und China einigen sich darauf, die KI-Entwicklung bis 2026 gemeinsam voranzutreiben?

8%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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