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icon for Wird OpenAI bis zum... ein Consumer-Hardwareprodukt auf den Markt bringen?
Technik·OpenAI

Wird OpenAI bis zum... ein Consumer-Hardwareprodukt auf den Markt bringen?

icon for Wird OpenAI bis zum... ein Consumer-Hardwareprodukt auf den Markt bringen?
Technik·OpenAI

Wird OpenAI bis zum... ein Consumer-Hardwareprodukt auf den Markt bringen?

$365,100 Vol.

31. Okt. 2026
Polymarket

$365,100 Vol.

Polymarket

31. Oktober 2026

$76,507 Vol.

7%

31. Dezember 2026

$62,605 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI’s hardware ambitions center on reducing reliance on partners like Apple while building direct AI experiences, accelerated by its 2025 acquisition of Jony Ive’s io Products and recruitment of hundreds of former Apple engineers. Reports point to a portable, screenless smart speaker as the flagship device, with sensors, moving mechanical elements, and advanced voice capabilities positioned for a 2027 launch after earlier 2026 targets slipped. Smaller accessories, including the Codex Micro input device released in July 2026 and rumored Sweetpea earbuds, represent nearer-term steps toward a multi-device ecosystem by 2028. Supply-chain shifts, custom silicon partnerships like Broadcom’s Jalapeño inference chip, and competitive pressure from other AI labs continue to shape development timelines and trader focus on whether a meaningful consumer product ships before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.

Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Volumen
$365,100
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI’s hardware ambitions center on reducing reliance on partners like Apple while building direct AI experiences, accelerated by its 2025 acquisition of Jony Ive’s io Products and recruitment of hundreds of former Apple engineers. Reports point to a portable, screenless smart speaker as the flagship device, with sensors, moving mechanical elements, and advanced voice capabilities positioned for a 2027 launch after earlier 2026 targets slipped. Smaller accessories, including the Codex Micro input device released in July 2026 and rumored Sweetpea earbuds, represent nearer-term steps toward a multi-device ecosystem by 2028. Supply-chain shifts, custom silicon partnerships like Broadcom’s Jalapeño inference chip, and competitive pressure from other AI labs continue to shape development timelines and trader focus on whether a meaningful consumer product ships before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.

Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Volumen
$365,100
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 15, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Wird OpenAI im Jahr 2026 Ohrhörer oder Kopfhörer ankündigen?

Wird OpenAI im Jahr 2026 Ohrhörer oder Kopfhörer ankündigen?

14%
Ja
icon for Wird OpenAI vor 2027 einen Token herausbringen?

Wird OpenAI vor 2027 einen Token herausbringen?

4%
Ja
icon for Wird OpenAI bis zum 30. Juni 2027 an die Börse gehen?

Wird OpenAI bis zum 30. Juni 2027 an die Börse gehen?

52%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird OpenAI bis zum... ein Consumer-Hardwareprodukt auf den Markt bringen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „31. Dezember 2026" mit 15%, gefolgt von „31. Oktober 2026" mit 7%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 15¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 15% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wird OpenAI bis zum... ein Consumer-Hardwareprodukt auf den Markt bringen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $365.1K generiert, seit der Markt am May 22, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wird OpenAI bis zum... ein Consumer-Hardwareprodukt auf den Markt bringen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wird OpenAI bis zum... ein Consumer-Hardwareprodukt auf den Markt bringen?" ist „31. Dezember 2026" mit 15%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 15% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „31. Oktober 2026" mit 7%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wird OpenAI bis zum... ein Consumer-Hardwareprodukt auf den Markt bringen?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.