Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, as its new Opus-tier flagship with a 1M-token context window, improved reasoning modes, and strong gains on coding benchmarks like Frontier-Bench and CursorBench at the same pricing as Opus 4.8. This followed Opus 4.8 in late May and the June launch of Fable 5 and Mythos 5, with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates arriving September 1. Historical Opus cadence shows gaps of roughly six to ten weeks earlier in 2026, but the shift to a 5-series and focus on efficiency, safety classifiers, and agentic tools suggest a longer interval before Opus 6. Traders monitor Anthropic announcements, competitive releases from OpenAI or Google, and any leaks on development timelines for signals on the next major Opus iteration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$99,288 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
68%
31. Oktober
98%
31. Dezember
99%
$99,288 Vol.
30. September
$39,488 Vol.
68%
31. Oktober
$13,267 Vol.
98%
31. Dezember
$5,019 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, as its new Opus-tier flagship with a 1M-token context window, improved reasoning modes, and strong gains on coding benchmarks like Frontier-Bench and CursorBench at the same pricing as Opus 4.8. This followed Opus 4.8 in late May and the June launch of Fable 5 and Mythos 5, with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates arriving September 1. Historical Opus cadence shows gaps of roughly six to ten weeks earlier in 2026, but the shift to a 5-series and focus on efficiency, safety classifiers, and agentic tools suggest a longer interval before Opus 6. Traders monitor Anthropic announcements, competitive releases from OpenAI or Google, and any leaks on development timelines for signals on the next major Opus iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volumen
$99,288Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, as its new Opus-tier flagship with a 1M-token context window, improved reasoning modes, and strong gains on coding benchmarks like Frontier-Bench and CursorBench at the same pricing as Opus 4.8. This followed Opus 4.8 in late May and the June launch of Fable 5 and Mythos 5, with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates arriving September 1. Historical Opus cadence shows gaps of roughly six to ten weeks earlier in 2026, but the shift to a 5-series and focus on efficiency, safety classifiers, and agentic tools suggest a longer interval before Opus 6. Traders monitor Anthropic announcements, competitive releases from OpenAI or Google, and any leaks on development timelines for signals on the next major Opus iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$99,288Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, as its new Opus-tier flagship with a 1M-token context window, improved reasoning modes, and strong gains on coding benchmarks like Frontier-Bench and CursorBench at the same pricing as Opus 4.8. This followed Opus 4.8 in late May and the June launch of Fable 5 and Mythos 5, with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates arriving September 1. Historical Opus cadence shows gaps of roughly six to ten weeks earlier in 2026, but the shift to a 5-series and focus on efficiency, safety classifiers, and agentic tools suggest a longer interval before Opus 6. Traders monitor Anthropic announcements, competitive releases from OpenAI or Google, and any leaks on development timelines for signals on the next major Opus iteration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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