Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) leads trader pricing for second place in Tocantins' two-seat Senate contest, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in recent polls behind Eduardo Gomes (PL). The state's plurality system, in which voters select two candidates, has produced a fragmented field that includes Gaguim (União), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Late-August surveys showed Guimarães holding 18-25% support while trailing Gomes, with high undecided shares and room for movement among lower-polling names. Gaguim's higher rejection ratings and the absence of major late-campaign developments have kept the second spot competitive, with traders pricing in Guimarães' edge in name recognition and organizational support ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAlexandre Guimarães 55%
Gaguim 31.3%
Eduardo Gomes 9.4%
Paulo Mourão 3.4%
$25,761 Vol.
$25,761 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
55%
Gaguim
31%
Eduardo Gomes
9%
Paulo Mourão
3%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
3%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
3%
Osvany Luz
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
1%
Eli Borges
1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Alexandre Guimarães 55%
Gaguim 31.3%
Eduardo Gomes 9.4%
Paulo Mourão 3.4%
$25,761 Vol.
$25,761 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
$13,917 Vol.
55%
Gaguim
$2,842 Vol.
31%
Eduardo Gomes
$1,282 Vol.
9%
Paulo Mourão
$4,410 Vol.
3%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$386 Vol.
3%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$364 Vol.
3%
Osvany Luz
$418 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$342 Vol.
1%
Eli Borges
$489 Vol.
1%
Nilton Santos
$358 Vol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$357 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$311 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$284 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) leads trader pricing for second place in Tocantins' two-seat Senate contest, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in recent polls behind Eduardo Gomes (PL). The state's plurality system, in which voters select two candidates, has produced a fragmented field that includes Gaguim (União), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Late-August surveys showed Guimarães holding 18-25% support while trailing Gomes, with high undecided shares and room for movement among lower-polling names. Gaguim's higher rejection ratings and the absence of major late-campaign developments have kept the second spot competitive, with traders pricing in Guimarães' edge in name recognition and organizational support ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volumen
$25,761Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) leads trader pricing for second place in Tocantins' two-seat Senate contest, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in recent polls behind Eduardo Gomes (PL). The state's plurality system, in which voters select two candidates, has produced a fragmented field that includes Gaguim (União), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Late-August surveys showed Guimarães holding 18-25% support while trailing Gomes, with high undecided shares and room for movement among lower-polling names. Gaguim's higher rejection ratings and the absence of major late-campaign developments have kept the second spot competitive, with traders pricing in Guimarães' edge in name recognition and organizational support ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$25,761Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) leads trader pricing for second place in Tocantins' two-seat Senate contest, reflecting his consistent second-place standing in recent polls behind Eduardo Gomes (PL). The state's plurality system, in which voters select two candidates, has produced a fragmented field that includes Gaguim (União), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Late-August surveys showed Guimarães holding 18-25% support while trailing Gomes, with high undecided shares and room for movement among lower-polling names. Gaguim's higher rejection ratings and the absence of major late-campaign developments have kept the second spot competitive, with traders pricing in Guimarães' edge in name recognition and organizational support ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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