Recent polling from Quaest in late August and Real Time Big Data in early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall Senate intentions in Roraima at 19-25%, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and others trailing. The two-seat contest, where voters select up to two names, combined with high undecided rates near 67% in spontaneous responses and a margin of error of 2-3 points, keeps the second-place outcome tightly contested among the top four. Small shifts in turnout, vote splitting within parties, or consolidation of remaining undecided voters could reorder the finishers ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow gap, with implied probabilities clustered among the leading contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNicoletti 44.4%
Teresa Surita 28%
Helena da Asatur 9.2%
Chico Rodrigues 5.0%
$68,640 Vol.
$68,640 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Nicoletti
47%
Teresa Surita
28%
Helena da Asatur
9%
Chico Rodrigues
5%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 44.4%
Teresa Surita 28%
Helena da Asatur 9.2%
Chico Rodrigues 5.0%
$68,640 Vol.
$68,640 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Nicoletti
$12,202 Vol.
47%
Teresa Surita
$21,897 Vol.
28%
Helena da Asatur
$4,859 Vol.
9%
Chico Rodrigues
$14,896 Vol.
5%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,174 Vol.
5%
Mario Rocha
$834 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest in late August and Real Time Big Data in early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall Senate intentions in Roraima at 19-25%, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and others trailing. The two-seat contest, where voters select up to two names, combined with high undecided rates near 67% in spontaneous responses and a margin of error of 2-3 points, keeps the second-place outcome tightly contested among the top four. Small shifts in turnout, vote splitting within parties, or consolidation of remaining undecided voters could reorder the finishers ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow gap, with implied probabilities clustered among the leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volumen
$68,640Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest in late August and Real Time Big Data in early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall Senate intentions in Roraima at 19-25%, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and others trailing. The two-seat contest, where voters select up to two names, combined with high undecided rates near 67% in spontaneous responses and a margin of error of 2-3 points, keeps the second-place outcome tightly contested among the top four. Small shifts in turnout, vote splitting within parties, or consolidation of remaining undecided voters could reorder the finishers ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow gap, with implied probabilities clustered among the leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$68,640Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest in late August and Real Time Big Data in early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall Senate intentions in Roraima at 19-25%, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and others trailing. The two-seat contest, where voters select up to two names, combined with high undecided rates near 67% in spontaneous responses and a margin of error of 2-3 points, keeps the second-place outcome tightly contested among the top four. Small shifts in turnout, vote splitting within parties, or consolidation of remaining undecided voters could reorder the finishers ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow gap, with implied probabilities clustered among the leading contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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