The tight contest for second place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate race stems from recent polling showing Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a clear lead while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain clustered within the margin of error for the remaining spot. September surveys from DataTrends and Real Time Big Data place Costa and Mendonça in a virtual tie just behind Arraes when combining first and second preferences, with substantial blocs of undecided voters and blank/null responses still in play. High rejection rates for the top contenders and the mechanics of voters selecting two names keep separation limited absent major campaign shifts, endorsements, or late polling movement before the October vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHumberto Costa 46%
Mendonça Filho 38%
Marília Arraes 18.1%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.7%
$33,924 Vol.
$33,924 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Humberto Costa
46%
Mendonça Filho
38%
Marília Arraes
18%
Eduardo da Fonte
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
4%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Humberto Costa 46%
Mendonça Filho 38%
Marília Arraes 18.1%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.7%
$33,924 Vol.
$33,924 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Humberto Costa
$10,817 Vol.
46%
Mendonça Filho
$9,361 Vol.
38%
Marília Arraes
$5,925 Vol.
18%
Eduardo da Fonte
$1,727 Vol.
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
$1,483 Vol.
4%
Mariano Macedo
$807 Vol.
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$851 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$909 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$494 Vol.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$629 Vol.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$490 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate race stems from recent polling showing Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a clear lead while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain clustered within the margin of error for the remaining spot. September surveys from DataTrends and Real Time Big Data place Costa and Mendonça in a virtual tie just behind Arraes when combining first and second preferences, with substantial blocs of undecided voters and blank/null responses still in play. High rejection rates for the top contenders and the mechanics of voters selecting two names keep separation limited absent major campaign shifts, endorsements, or late polling movement before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volumen
$33,924Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate race stems from recent polling showing Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a clear lead while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain clustered within the margin of error for the remaining spot. September surveys from DataTrends and Real Time Big Data place Costa and Mendonça in a virtual tie just behind Arraes when combining first and second preferences, with substantial blocs of undecided voters and blank/null responses still in play. High rejection rates for the top contenders and the mechanics of voters selecting two names keep separation limited absent major campaign shifts, endorsements, or late polling movement before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$33,924Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for second place in Pernambuco’s two-seat Senate race stems from recent polling showing Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a clear lead while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain clustered within the margin of error for the remaining spot. September surveys from DataTrends and Real Time Big Data place Costa and Mendonça in a virtual tie just behind Arraes when combining first and second preferences, with substantial blocs of undecided voters and blank/null responses still in play. High rejection rates for the top contenders and the mechanics of voters selecting two names keep separation limited absent major campaign shifts, endorsements, or late polling movement before the October vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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