Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi series, highlighted by the September 11, 2026 launch of the K2.8 preview model with performance nearing K3 levels in coding and agentic tasks, drives current trader sentiment on the next K model release. K3 itself debuted July 16 as a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE with a 1M-token context window, open weights, and strong benchmarks that narrowed the gap to U.S. frontier models like Claude and GPT variants while undercutting their costs. Recent app updates, API pricing at $3/$15 per million tokens for K3, and enterprise partnership programs underscore Moonshot's momentum, though accusations of model distillation from Anthropic and custom licensing requirements add regulatory and competitive friction. Traders watch for the next major capability jump or rival open-weight response ahead of Moonshot's IPO plans.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$27,225 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
31. August 2026
Nein
15. September 2026
Ja
30. September 2026
Ja
31. Dezember 2026
Ja
$27,225 Vol.
31. August 2026
$1,927 Vol.
Nein
15. September 2026
$6,277 Vol.
Ja
30. September 2026
$13,933 Vol.
Ja
31. Dezember 2026
$5,088 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi series, highlighted by the September 11, 2026 launch of the K2.8 preview model with performance nearing K3 levels in coding and agentic tasks, drives current trader sentiment on the next K model release. K3 itself debuted July 16 as a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE with a 1M-token context window, open weights, and strong benchmarks that narrowed the gap to U.S. frontier models like Claude and GPT variants while undercutting their costs. Recent app updates, API pricing at $3/$15 per million tokens for K3, and enterprise partnership programs underscore Moonshot's momentum, though accusations of model distillation from Anthropic and custom licensing requirements add regulatory and competitive friction. Traders watch for the next major capability jump or rival open-weight response ahead of Moonshot's IPO plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Volumen
$27,225Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi series, highlighted by the September 11, 2026 launch of the K2.8 preview model with performance nearing K3 levels in coding and agentic tasks, drives current trader sentiment on the next K model release. K3 itself debuted July 16 as a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE with a 1M-token context window, open weights, and strong benchmarks that narrowed the gap to U.S. frontier models like Claude and GPT variants while undercutting their costs. Recent app updates, API pricing at $3/$15 per million tokens for K3, and enterprise partnership programs underscore Moonshot's momentum, though accusations of model distillation from Anthropic and custom licensing requirements add regulatory and competitive friction. Traders watch for the next major capability jump or rival open-weight response ahead of Moonshot's IPO plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$27,225Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Moonshot AI's rapid iteration on its Kimi series, highlighted by the September 11, 2026 launch of the K2.8 preview model with performance nearing K3 levels in coding and agentic tasks, drives current trader sentiment on the next K model release. K3 itself debuted July 16 as a 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE with a 1M-token context window, open weights, and strong benchmarks that narrowed the gap to U.S. frontier models like Claude and GPT variants while undercutting their costs. Recent app updates, API pricing at $3/$15 per million tokens for K3, and enterprise partnership programs underscore Moonshot's momentum, though accusations of model distillation from Anthropic and custom licensing requirements add regulatory and competitive friction. Traders watch for the next major capability jump or rival open-weight response ahead of Moonshot's IPO plans.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen