Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit, the far-right party led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, at 7–8 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 6 to 9. This range reflects stable support amid right-wing vote fragmentation from Religious Zionism, the new Amcha Israel list, and competition within the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc, which polls near or below the 61-seat majority threshold. Ben-Gvir’s slate includes a first Haredi candidate to expand appeal, while disqualification petitions filed against the party remain pending before the Central Elections Committee. Trader probabilities cluster on 6–7 and 8–9 seats because current surveys show limited separation, with final turnout, surplus-vote agreements, and late campaign shifts among religious and nationalist voters likely to determine the precise outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert6-7 32%
8-9 29%
4-5 16%
10+ 16%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<4
2%
4-5
16%
6-7
32%
8-9
29%
10+
17%
6-7 32%
8-9 29%
4-5 16%
10+ 16%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<4
$683 Vol.
2%
4-5
$1,222 Vol.
16%
6-7
$1,011 Vol.
32%
8-9
$1,558 Vol.
29%
10+
$302 Vol.
17%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit, the far-right party led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, at 7–8 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 6 to 9. This range reflects stable support amid right-wing vote fragmentation from Religious Zionism, the new Amcha Israel list, and competition within the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc, which polls near or below the 61-seat majority threshold. Ben-Gvir’s slate includes a first Haredi candidate to expand appeal, while disqualification petitions filed against the party remain pending before the Central Elections Committee. Trader probabilities cluster on 6–7 and 8–9 seats because current surveys show limited separation, with final turnout, surplus-vote agreements, and late campaign shifts among religious and nationalist voters likely to determine the precise outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$4,776Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit, the far-right party led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, at 7–8 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 6 to 9. This range reflects stable support amid right-wing vote fragmentation from Religious Zionism, the new Amcha Israel list, and competition within the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc, which polls near or below the 61-seat majority threshold. Ben-Gvir’s slate includes a first Haredi candidate to expand appeal, while disqualification petitions filed against the party remain pending before the Central Elections Committee. Trader probabilities cluster on 6–7 and 8–9 seats because current surveys show limited separation, with final turnout, surplus-vote agreements, and late campaign shifts among religious and nationalist voters likely to determine the precise outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$4,776Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit, the far-right party led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, at 7–8 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 6 to 9. This range reflects stable support amid right-wing vote fragmentation from Religious Zionism, the new Amcha Israel list, and competition within the broader Netanyahu-aligned bloc, which polls near or below the 61-seat majority threshold. Ben-Gvir’s slate includes a first Haredi candidate to expand appeal, while disqualification petitions filed against the party remain pending before the Central Elections Committee. Trader probabilities cluster on 6–7 and 8–9 seats because current surveys show limited separation, with final turnout, surplus-vote agreements, and late campaign shifts among religious and nationalist voters likely to determine the precise outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen