Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs position an 18°C high as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 11, with trader-implied odds reflecting consensus around 17–19°C. Light southwesterly winds under building high pressure and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows near 10–12°C, while preventing rapid cooling. These conditions follow rain-cooled air on September 10, aligning with seasonal norms for mid-September maxima near 18–20°C but tempered by the stable, overcast pattern. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late clearing or model shifts in the final 24 hours capable of nudging the peak toward 19°C or holding it at 17°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 11. September?
18°C 41%
19°C 26%
17°C 25%
16°C 6%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
14°C oder niedriger
1%
15 °C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
25%
18°C
41%
19°C
26%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 41%
19°C 26%
17°C 25%
16°C 6%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
14°C oder niedriger
$70 Vol.
1%
15 °C
$130 Vol.
1%
16°C
$466 Vol.
6%
17°C
$1,697 Vol.
25%
18°C
$666 Vol.
41%
19°C
$1,157 Vol.
26%
20°C
$350 Vol.
4%
21°C
$381 Vol.
2%
22°C
$226 Vol.
1%
23°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
24°C oder höher
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs position an 18°C high as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 11, with trader-implied odds reflecting consensus around 17–19°C. Light southwesterly winds under building high pressure and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows near 10–12°C, while preventing rapid cooling. These conditions follow rain-cooled air on September 10, aligning with seasonal norms for mid-September maxima near 18–20°C but tempered by the stable, overcast pattern. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late clearing or model shifts in the final 24 hours capable of nudging the peak toward 19°C or holding it at 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$5,612Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs position an 18°C high as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 11, with trader-implied odds reflecting consensus around 17–19°C. Light southwesterly winds under building high pressure and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows near 10–12°C, while preventing rapid cooling. These conditions follow rain-cooled air on September 10, aligning with seasonal norms for mid-September maxima near 18–20°C but tempered by the stable, overcast pattern. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late clearing or model shifts in the final 24 hours capable of nudging the peak toward 19°C or holding it at 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,612Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs position an 18°C high as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on September 11, with trader-implied odds reflecting consensus around 17–19°C. Light southwesterly winds under building high pressure and persistent cloud cover are expected to limit daytime warming after overnight lows near 10–12°C, while preventing rapid cooling. These conditions follow rain-cooled air on September 10, aligning with seasonal norms for mid-September maxima near 18–20°C but tempered by the stable, overcast pattern. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late clearing or model shifts in the final 24 hours capable of nudging the peak toward 19°C or holding it at 17°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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