Northeast monsoon flow and associated subsidence are maintaining dry daytime conditions across Hong Kong on September 10, 2026, supporting a Hong Kong Observatory forecast range of 26–32 °C. Real-time observations from multiple stations show afternoon readings climbing toward 31–32 °C under partly sunny skies with low shower probability, consistent with recent model consensus from regional guidance. Historical September climatology places typical maxima near 31 °C, and the absence of stronger onshore flow or organized convection limits upside potential beyond 33 °C. With the day still unfolding, traders have placed 70 % implied probability on exactly 32 °C as the daily high, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and limited scope for rapid temperature spikes before evening cooling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 10. September?
32°C 75%
31°C 18%
33°C 9%
34°C <1%
$60,601 Vol.
$60,601 Vol.
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
18%
32°C
75%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 75%
31°C 18%
33°C 9%
34°C <1%
$60,601 Vol.
$60,601 Vol.
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
18%
32°C
75%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow and associated subsidence are maintaining dry daytime conditions across Hong Kong on September 10, 2026, supporting a Hong Kong Observatory forecast range of 26–32 °C. Real-time observations from multiple stations show afternoon readings climbing toward 31–32 °C under partly sunny skies with low shower probability, consistent with recent model consensus from regional guidance. Historical September climatology places typical maxima near 31 °C, and the absence of stronger onshore flow or organized convection limits upside potential beyond 33 °C. With the day still unfolding, traders have placed 70 % implied probability on exactly 32 °C as the daily high, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and limited scope for rapid temperature spikes before evening cooling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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