Official forecasts for Shanghai on September 10, 2026, from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high of 28–30°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, elevated humidity around 70%, and a modest chance of showers. These factors limit solar heating and explain the near-even market split between 28°C and 29°C implied probabilities. Model consensus and historical September baselines support this narrow range, while any late-day clearing or reduced precipitation could push readings toward 30°C; traders monitor real-time station data and updated model runs for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 10. September?
28°C 44%
29°C 43%
30°C 11%
27°C 5%
$49,151 Vol.
$49,151 Vol.
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
44%
29°C
43%
30°C
11%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 43%
30°C 11%
27°C 5%
$49,151 Vol.
$49,151 Vol.
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
44%
29°C
43%
30°C
11%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Shanghai on September 10, 2026, from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high of 28–30°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds, elevated humidity around 70%, and a modest chance of showers. These factors limit solar heating and explain the near-even market split between 28°C and 29°C implied probabilities. Model consensus and historical September baselines support this narrow range, while any late-day clearing or reduced precipitation could push readings toward 30°C; traders monitor real-time station data and updated model runs for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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