Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson and City Centre, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on September 10, 2026, under mainly sunny skies with west-northwest winds gusting to 35–45 km/h and minimal cloud cover. This aligned closely with pre-event model consensus from GFS and Environment Canada guidance projecting highs of 23–26°C amid near-seasonal September conditions, with afternoon peaks driven by strong solar insolation and light mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects verification against these authoritative surface measurements rather than forecasts. Only an anomalous station discrepancy or post-analysis revision would realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 10. September?
25°C 100.0%
17°C oder niedriger <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$76,503 Vol.
$76,503 Vol.
17°C oder niedriger
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C oder höher
Nein
25°C 100.0%
17°C oder niedriger <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$76,503 Vol.
$76,503 Vol.
17°C oder niedriger
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from Environment Canada stations, including Toronto Pearson and City Centre, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on September 10, 2026, under mainly sunny skies with west-northwest winds gusting to 35–45 km/h and minimal cloud cover. This aligned closely with pre-event model consensus from GFS and Environment Canada guidance projecting highs of 23–26°C amid near-seasonal September conditions, with afternoon peaks driven by strong solar insolation and light mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects verification against these authoritative surface measurements rather than forecasts. Only an anomalous station discrepancy or post-analysis revision would realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare for daily temperature records.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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