Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence on a 33°C high in Madrid on September 13, driven by the latest official forecasts and model consensus from AEMET and supporting agencies. Clear skies, high pressure, and light southeasterly winds under dry conditions are enabling strong daytime heating, with hourly observations showing temperatures rising steadily toward that threshold by afternoon. This aligns with above-average September warmth in the current synoptic setup, though the long-term climatological mean high sits near 27°C. The positioning reflects trader assessment of real-time data rather than speculation, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum at authorized stations. Minor deviations remain possible only if late-day model adjustments or localized measurement variances occur, but current evidence supports the dominant outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 13. September?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
$42,459 Vol.
$42,459 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
26°C oder darunter <1%
27°C <1%
$42,459 Vol.
$42,459 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
$239 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$708 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$946 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,066 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$12,936 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$9,933 Vol.
100%
34°C
$8,678 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,222 Vol.
<1%
36°C oder höher
$1,237 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence on a 33°C high in Madrid on September 13, driven by the latest official forecasts and model consensus from AEMET and supporting agencies. Clear skies, high pressure, and light southeasterly winds under dry conditions are enabling strong daytime heating, with hourly observations showing temperatures rising steadily toward that threshold by afternoon. This aligns with above-average September warmth in the current synoptic setup, though the long-term climatological mean high sits near 27°C. The positioning reflects trader assessment of real-time data rather than speculation, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum at authorized stations. Minor deviations remain possible only if late-day model adjustments or localized measurement variances occur, but current evidence supports the dominant outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$42,459Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence on a 33°C high in Madrid on September 13, driven by the latest official forecasts and model consensus from AEMET and supporting agencies. Clear skies, high pressure, and light southeasterly winds under dry conditions are enabling strong daytime heating, with hourly observations showing temperatures rising steadily toward that threshold by afternoon. This aligns with above-average September warmth in the current synoptic setup, though the long-term climatological mean high sits near 27°C. The positioning reflects trader assessment of real-time data rather than speculation, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum at authorized stations. Minor deviations remain possible only if late-day model adjustments or localized measurement variances occur, but current evidence supports the dominant outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42,459Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence on a 33°C high in Madrid on September 13, driven by the latest official forecasts and model consensus from AEMET and supporting agencies. Clear skies, high pressure, and light southeasterly winds under dry conditions are enabling strong daytime heating, with hourly observations showing temperatures rising steadily toward that threshold by afternoon. This aligns with above-average September warmth in the current synoptic setup, though the long-term climatological mean high sits near 27°C. The positioning reflects trader assessment of real-time data rather than speculation, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum at authorized stations. Minor deviations remain possible only if late-day model adjustments or localized measurement variances occur, but current evidence supports the dominant outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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