**Trader consensus at 100% for a 28°C high in Shanghai on September 15, 2026, reflects alignment between official forecasts and real-time observations from regional weather stations.** Multiple model runs and live reports show daytime maxima stabilizing near 28–29°C (82–84°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. Surface observations through the afternoon hours have peaked in this narrow range without exceeding it, supporting market-implied odds. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge above 28°C from localized heating or revised station data, though current atmospheric conditions and model consensus make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 15. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 15. September?
28°C 100%
24°C oder weniger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,140 Vol.
$55,140 Vol.
15. Sep. 2026
24°C oder weniger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Ja
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
28°C 100%
24°C oder weniger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,140 Vol.
$55,140 Vol.
15. Sep. 2026
24°C oder weniger
$198 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$568 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$2,639 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$10,498 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$18,555 Vol.
Ja
29°C
$12,491 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$7,139 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$1,389 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$1,182 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$243 Vol.
Nein
34°C oder höher
$238 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 28°C high in Shanghai on September 15, 2026, reflects alignment between official forecasts and real-time observations from regional weather stations.** Multiple model runs and live reports show daytime maxima stabilizing near 28–29°C (82–84°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. Surface observations through the afternoon hours have peaked in this narrow range without exceeding it, supporting market-implied odds. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge above 28°C from localized heating or revised station data, though current atmospheric conditions and model consensus make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volumen
$55,140Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 28°C high in Shanghai on September 15, 2026, reflects alignment between official forecasts and real-time observations from regional weather stations.** Multiple model runs and live reports show daytime maxima stabilizing near 28–29°C (82–84°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. Surface observations through the afternoon hours have peaked in this narrow range without exceeding it, supporting market-implied odds. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge above 28°C from localized heating or revised station data, though current atmospheric conditions and model consensus make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$55,140Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 28°C high in Shanghai on September 15, 2026, reflects alignment between official forecasts and real-time observations from regional weather stations.** Multiple model runs and live reports show daytime maxima stabilizing near 28–29°C (82–84°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. Surface observations through the afternoon hours have peaked in this narrow range without exceeding it, supporting market-implied odds. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge above 28°C from localized heating or revised station data, though current atmospheric conditions and model consensus make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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