**Traders have converged on a 40°C daily maximum in Jeddah on September 15 because official station observations and multiple forecast models show the temperature peaking at that exact threshold amid typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions.** Clear skies, light variable winds, and high humidity have supported strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate it, consistent with September climatology where averages reach the mid-30s °C and occasional peaks exceed 40°C. Real-time data from sources like local meteorological stations confirm the high has been attained, producing the market-implied certainty. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions to station records or discrepancies between measurement sites, though such adjustments are uncommon once the diurnal cycle has passed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 15. September?
40°C 100.0%
36°C oder darunter <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$37,942 Vol.
$37,942 Vol.
36°C oder darunter
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C
Nein
40°C
Ja
41°C
Nein
42°C
Nein
43°C
Nein
44°C
Nein
45°C
Nein
46°C oder höher
Nein
40°C 100.0%
36°C oder darunter <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$37,942 Vol.
$37,942 Vol.
36°C oder darunter
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C
Nein
40°C
Ja
41°C
Nein
42°C
Nein
43°C
Nein
44°C
Nein
45°C
Nein
46°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Traders have converged on a 40°C daily maximum in Jeddah on September 15 because official station observations and multiple forecast models show the temperature peaking at that exact threshold amid typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions.** Clear skies, light variable winds, and high humidity have supported strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate it, consistent with September climatology where averages reach the mid-30s °C and occasional peaks exceed 40°C. Real-time data from sources like local meteorological stations confirm the high has been attained, producing the market-implied certainty. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions to station records or discrepancies between measurement sites, though such adjustments are uncommon once the diurnal cycle has passed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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