Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations and regional forecast models show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical late-summer humidity levels. This alignment with the market's near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects consistent model runs and real-time measurements confirming no significant deviation from the expected peak. Historical September baselines in the region support highs in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Resolution could be challenged only by rare station-specific microclimatic effects or last-hour measurement revisions exceeding standard error margins, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 14. September?
29°C 100.0%
24°C oder weniger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$65,630 Vol.
$65,630 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
24°C oder weniger
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C oder höher
Nein
29°C 100.0%
24°C oder weniger <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$65,630 Vol.
$65,630 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
24°C oder weniger
$98 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$98 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$276 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$6,839 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$22,275 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$14,170 Vol.
Ja
30°C
$13,378 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$6,910 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$1,332 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$70 Vol.
Nein
34°C oder höher
$183 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations and regional forecast models show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical late-summer humidity levels. This alignment with the market's near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects consistent model runs and real-time measurements confirming no significant deviation from the expected peak. Historical September baselines in the region support highs in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Resolution could be challenged only by rare station-specific microclimatic effects or last-hour measurement revisions exceeding standard error margins, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$65,630Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations and regional forecast models show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical late-summer humidity levels. This alignment with the market's near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects consistent model runs and real-time measurements confirming no significant deviation from the expected peak. Historical September baselines in the region support highs in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Resolution could be challenged only by rare station-specific microclimatic effects or last-hour measurement revisions exceeding standard error margins, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$65,630Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations and regional forecast models show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 29°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow and typical late-summer humidity levels. This alignment with the market's near-100% implied probability for 29°C reflects consistent model runs and real-time measurements confirming no significant deviation from the expected peak. Historical September baselines in the region support highs in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Resolution could be challenged only by rare station-specific microclimatic effects or last-hour measurement revisions exceeding standard error margins, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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