Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models supports a daytime maximum near 23°C at Paris-Le Bourget, following cooler northwest maritime air advection after the prior day's 33°C peak. Variable cloud cover and moderate northwest winds are limiting insolation and keeping values aligned with the late-September climatological average high of 21.5°C. This stable signal underpins the market-implied odds concentrating at 23°C. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected clearing skies boosting surface heating or persistent low stratus suppressing the peak below the 23°C threshold, with final resolution hinging on the official NOAA observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 16. September?
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder weniger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$70,863 Vol.
$70,863 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
18°C oder weniger
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
23°C 100.0%
18°C oder weniger <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$70,863 Vol.
$70,863 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
18°C oder weniger
$1,854 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$1,490 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$3,695 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$11,036 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$12,367 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$21,839 Vol.
Ja
24°C
$9,705 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$3,690 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$2,139 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$1,594 Vol.
Nein
28°C oder höher
$1,453 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models supports a daytime maximum near 23°C at Paris-Le Bourget, following cooler northwest maritime air advection after the prior day's 33°C peak. Variable cloud cover and moderate northwest winds are limiting insolation and keeping values aligned with the late-September climatological average high of 21.5°C. This stable signal underpins the market-implied odds concentrating at 23°C. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected clearing skies boosting surface heating or persistent low stratus suppressing the peak below the 23°C threshold, with final resolution hinging on the official NOAA observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$70,863Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models supports a daytime maximum near 23°C at Paris-Le Bourget, following cooler northwest maritime air advection after the prior day's 33°C peak. Variable cloud cover and moderate northwest winds are limiting insolation and keeping values aligned with the late-September climatological average high of 21.5°C. This stable signal underpins the market-implied odds concentrating at 23°C. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected clearing skies boosting surface heating or persistent low stratus suppressing the peak below the 23°C threshold, with final resolution hinging on the official NOAA observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$70,863Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models supports a daytime maximum near 23°C at Paris-Le Bourget, following cooler northwest maritime air advection after the prior day's 33°C peak. Variable cloud cover and moderate northwest winds are limiting insolation and keeping values aligned with the late-September climatological average high of 21.5°C. This stable signal underpins the market-implied odds concentrating at 23°C. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected clearing skies boosting surface heating or persistent low stratus suppressing the peak below the 23°C threshold, with final resolution hinging on the official NOAA observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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