Recent forecasts from models like GFS and agency guidance indicate a high near 24–25°C for Paris on September 19, 2026, supported by a stable high-pressure regime, southwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar insolation without strong radiative cooling overnight. Morning lows around 13–15°C and light winds (5–9 mph) favor gradual afternoon warming, with peak heating expected mid-afternoon under variable cloud cover. Historical September averages near 21°C underscore the above-normal conditions, yet model consensus and limited moisture keep probabilities tightly clustered around 24–25°C. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could allow a 26°C outlier or cap at 24°C, consistent with the current market-implied distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 19. September?
25°C 54%
24°C 32%
26°C 14%
23°C 3%
$28,663 Vol.
$28,663 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
32%
25°C
54%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 54%
24°C 32%
26°C 14%
23°C 3%
$28,663 Vol.
$28,663 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
32%
25°C
54%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS and agency guidance indicate a high near 24–25°C for Paris on September 19, 2026, supported by a stable high-pressure regime, southwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar insolation without strong radiative cooling overnight. Morning lows around 13–15°C and light winds (5–9 mph) favor gradual afternoon warming, with peak heating expected mid-afternoon under variable cloud cover. Historical September averages near 21°C underscore the above-normal conditions, yet model consensus and limited moisture keep probabilities tightly clustered around 24–25°C. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could allow a 26°C outlier or cap at 24°C, consistent with the current market-implied distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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